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Gravina vs Rotonda

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Mateus da Silva
44' Event
Ledesma F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 game between Gravina and Rotonda finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gravina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Gravina
30%
Draws
23%
Rotonda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gravina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Rotonda haven't matched Gravina's recent run of results.
  • Gravina are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Gravina Clean Sheet 68%
Rotonda Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gravina Rotonda
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 18 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.59 1
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Rotonda
2:0
Sep 17, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Rotonda vs Gravina
1:0
Apr 24, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Rotonda
0:1
Dec 8, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Rotonda vs Gravina
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gravina Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateus da Silva
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ledesma F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Rotonda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gravina 50 / 100
Rotonda 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gravina Rotonda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gravina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gravina scored in 71% of their last 34 outings.

Defensive concern: Rotonda conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Gravina remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Rotonda's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gravina VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gravina

(Home)
04 Oct
Gravina
4 : 2
Virtus Francavilla
27 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 0
Gravina
20 Sept
Gravina
2 : 2
Real Forio 2014
16 Sept
Turris
0 : 0
Gravina
12 Sept
Gravina
3 : 1
San Felice Gladiator
Page 1 of 7

Rotonda

(Away)
05 May
Palmese 1914
1 : 0
Rotonda
28 Apr
Rotonda
2 : 1
Fidelis Andria
21 Apr
A.C.D. Nardo
1 : 0
Rotonda
14 Apr
Manfredonia
0 : 0
Rotonda
07 Apr
Rotonda
0 : 1
Gelbison
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altamura 34 21 9 4 51:23 72
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 12 4 51:23 66
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 20 5 9 53:24 65
4 Fidelis Andria 34 17 10 7 58:32 61
5 Casarano 34 15 10 9 45:32 55
6 Matera 34 15 8 11 45:37 53
7 Paganese 34 12 9 13 42:43 45
8 Palmese 1914 34 13 7 14 45:52 45
9 Gelbison 34 11 10 13 41:37 43
10 Rotonda 34 11 9 14 36:36 42
11 Gravina 34 10 11 13 49:44 41
12 Manfredonia 34 9 15 10 28:38 41
13 Citta di Fasano 34 11 8 15 38:57 41
14 Angri 34 10 9 15 35:52 39
15 Gallipoli 34 8 9 17 27:49 33
16 Barletta 34 6 12 16 30:45 30
17 Bitonto 34 7 9 18 22:45 30
18 Santa Maria Cilento 34 5 10 19 22:55 25
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Out)