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Gravina vs San Giorgio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Di Pietro A.
62' Event
Diop M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gravina
35%
Draws
25%
San Giorgio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gravina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Gravina have won more games recently than San Giorgio.
  • Win probability leans Gravina's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Gravina Clean Sheet 68%
San Giorgio Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gravina San Giorgio
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.48 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs San Giorgio
1:1
Dec 19, 2021 Serie D - Group H
San Giorgio vs Gravina
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gravina Compare

Top Goalscorer Diop M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

San Giorgio Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Pietro A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gravina 95 / 100
San Giorgio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gravina San Giorgio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gravina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gravina scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

San Giorgio has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Gravina remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gravina VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gravina

(Home)
27 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 0
Gravina
20 Sept
Gravina
2 : 2
Real Forio 2014
16 Sept
Turris
0 : 0
Gravina
12 Sept
Gravina
3 : 1
San Felice Gladiator
06 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 3
Gravina
Page 1 of 7

San Giorgio

(Away)
29 May
A.C.D. Nardo
5 : 1
San Giorgio
22 May
Casertana
0 : 1
San Giorgio
15 May
San Giorgio
1 : 6
Audace Cerignola
08 May
Gravina
1 : 1
San Giorgio
04 May
San Giorgio
1 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Audace Cerignola 38 26 10 2 83:27 88
2 Francavilla 38 22 5 11 62:44 71
3 Bitonto 38 19 8 11 56:40 65
4 Citta di Fasano 38 18 8 12 63:50 62
5 Nocerina 38 17 7 14 55:48 58
6 Gravina 38 16 8 14 51:49 56
7 Casertana 38 15 10 13 56:52 55
8 Sorrento 38 14 10 14 41:50 52
9 SS Nola 1925 38 14 9 15 50:58 51
10 Brindisi 38 14 7 17 42:55 49
11 Molfetta Calcio 38 11 15 12 48:45 48
12 Mariglianese 38 13 8 17 43:46 47
13 Casarano 38 12 11 15 37:49 47
14 Altamura 38 12 11 15 48:45 47
15 A.C.D. Nardo 38 12 9 17 59:67 45
16 Lavello 38 12 9 17 49:56 45
17 Rotonda 38 14 8 16 39:46 42
18 San Giorgio 38 9 14 15 30:44 41
19 Bisceglie 38 8 15 15 32:47 39
20 Virtus Matino 38 8 6 24 36:62 30
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Out)