Sport Picks
Gravina vs Santa Maria Cilento - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 
Match Events
23'
23'
Mateus da Silva
80'
80'
Brugaletta S.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 game between Gravina and Santa Maria Cilento finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gravina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Santa Maria Cilento haven't matched Gravina's recent run of results.
- Gravina are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Gravina Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Maria Cilento Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gravina | Santa Maria Cilento |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 0.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 10, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Santa Maria Cilento
1:1
Nov 1, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Santa Maria Cilento vs Gravina
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gravina Compare
Top Goalscorer Mateus da Silva
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Santa Maria Cilento Compare
Top Goalscorer Brugaletta S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gravina 86 / 100
Santa Maria Cilento 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gravina Santa Maria Cilento
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gravina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gravina's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Santa Maria Cilento's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Gravina went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gravina VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Gravina
(Home) 07 Oct
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 0 Gravina
04 Oct
Gravina
4 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
27 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 0 Gravina
20 Sept
Gravina
2 : 2 Real Forio 2014
16 Sept
Turris
0 : 0 Gravina
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Gravina
4 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
20 Sept
Gravina
2 : 2 Real Forio 2014
12 Sept
Gravina
3 : 1 San Felice Gladiator
03 May
Gravina
3 : 2 Real Normanna
19 Apr
Gravina
1 : 0 Paganese
Page 1 of 3
Santa Maria Cilento
(Away) 05 May
Santa Maria Cilento
0 : 3 A.C.D. Nardo
28 Apr
Paganese
4 : 0 Santa Maria Cilento
21 Apr
Citta di Fasano
0 : 3 Santa Maria Cilento
14 Apr
Santa Maria Cilento
0 : 3 Martina Calcio
07 Apr
Angri
0 : 0 Santa Maria Cilento
Page 1 of 6
28 Apr
Paganese
4 : 0 Santa Maria Cilento
21 Apr
Citta di Fasano
0 : 3 Santa Maria Cilento
07 Apr
Angri
0 : 0 Santa Maria Cilento
24 Mar
Altamura
1 : 0 Santa Maria Cilento
10 Mar
Gravina
1 : 1 Santa Maria Cilento
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Altamura | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 51:23 | 72 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 18 | 12 | 4 | 51:23 | 66 |
| 3 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 53:24 | 65 |
| 4 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 58:32 | 61 |
| 5 | Casarano | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:32 | 55 |
| 6 | Matera | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 45:37 | 53 |
| 7 | Paganese | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 42:43 | 45 |
| 8 | Palmese 1914 | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 45:52 | 45 |
| 9 | Gelbison | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 41:37 | 43 |
| 10 | Rotonda | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 36:36 | 42 |
| 11 | Gravina | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 49:44 | 41 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 28:38 | 41 |
| 13 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 38:57 | 41 |
| 14 | Angri | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:52 | 39 |
| 15 | Gallipoli | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 27:49 | 33 |
| 16 | Barletta | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 30:45 | 30 |
| 17 | Bitonto | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 22:45 | 30 |
| 18 | Santa Maria Cilento | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 22:55 | 25 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Out)
