Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grazer AK vs Kapfenberg

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Satin M.
55'
Sub
Maderner D. In: Hasenhutl R.
Out: Maderner D.
85'
Sub
Kreuzriegler M. In: Pines D.
Out: Kreuzriegler M.

AI Match Summary

Grazer AK in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grazer AK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Grazer AK
17%
Draws
70%
Kapfenberg
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Kapfenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Grazer AK have won more games recently than Kapfenberg.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Kapfenberg taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Grazer AK have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Grazer AK Clean Sheet 18%
Kapfenberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grazer AK Kapfenberg
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Grazer AK vs Kapfenberg
2:0
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Grazer AK vs Kapfenberg
2:0
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Grazer AK vs Kapfenberg
4:1
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Grazer AK vs Kapfenberg
4:1
May 25, 2024 2. Liga
Grazer AK vs Kapfenberg
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grazer AK Compare

Top Goalscorer Satin M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Kapfenberg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grazer AK 15 / 100
Kapfenberg 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grazer AK Kapfenberg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Grazer AK found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Kapfenberg conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Grazer AK remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Grazer AK VS Kapfenberg
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%