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Grazer AK vs Kapfenberg

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Gragger M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Grazer AK and Kapfenberg finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grazer AK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Grazer AK
22%
Draws
60%
Kapfenberg
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Kapfenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Grazer AK come out ahead of Kapfenberg on wins alone.
  • Model gives Kapfenberg a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Grazer AK have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Grazer AK Clean Sheet 17%
Kapfenberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grazer AK Kapfenberg
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Grazer AK vs Kapfenberg
1:0
Mar 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Grazer AK vs Kapfenberg
2:0
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Grazer AK vs Kapfenberg
2:0
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Grazer AK vs Kapfenberg
4:1
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Grazer AK vs Kapfenberg
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grazer AK Compare

Top Goalscorer Gragger M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Kapfenberg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grazer AK 20 / 100
Kapfenberg 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grazer AK Kapfenberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grazer AK scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Kapfenberg conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Kapfenberg's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Grazer AK VS Kapfenberg
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%