Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grbalj vs Bokelj

Montenegro Montenegro

Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 Stadion Donja Sutvara, Radanovici
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Stamenkovic B.
45'
Sklender P.
46'
Sub
Obradovic N. In: Vukcevic S.
Out: Obradovic N.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Bokelj advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Grbalj
20%
Draws
56%
Bokelj
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bokelj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Bokelj haven't matched Grbalj's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Grbalj have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bokelj, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Grbalj Clean Sheet 18%
Bokelj Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grbalj Bokelj
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.62 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Grbalj vs Bokelj
0:2
May 29, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Bokelj vs Grbalj
0:0
Nov 6, 2024 Montenegrin Cup
Bokelj vs Grbalj
3:0
Apr 7, 2024 Druga Liga
Grbalj vs Bokelj
1:3
Dec 4, 2023 Druga Liga
Bokelj vs Grbalj
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grbalj Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Bokelj Compare

Top Goalscorer Stamenkovic B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mugosa Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grbalj 36 / 100
Bokelj 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grbalj Bokelj

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bokelj Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Grbalj scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Grbalj has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Bokelj let in goals in 50% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Grbalj VS Bokelj
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Grbalj

(Home)
15 Aug
Grbalj
1 : 1
Zeta
03 Jun
Grbalj
0 : 2
Bokelj
29 May
Bokelj
0 : 0
Grbalj
24 May
Grbalj
2 : 0
Internacional Podgorica
20 May
Otrant
4 : 2
Grbalj
Page 1 of 6

Bokelj

(Away)
09 Aug
Bokelj
1 : 0
Sutjeska
01 Aug
Petrovac
0 : 1
Bokelj
19 Jul
Bokelj
1 : 0
Otrant
16 Jul
Bokelj
0 : 2
BSK Banja Luka
08 Jul
Bokelj
3 : 1
Arsenal Tivat
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Jezero 8
Iskra Danilovgrad 1
Bokelj 2
Grbalj 0