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Grbalj vs Budva - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Montenegro Montenegro

Druga Liga
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Grbalj host Budva in the Druga Liga. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Grbalj have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded recently, against Budva's 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded. Past meetings favor Grbalj slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 23, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 0.94) point toward Grbalj. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Grbalj
30%
Draws
12%
Budva
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grbalj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Grbalj come out ahead of Budva on wins alone.
  • Model gives Grbalj a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Grbalj Clean Sheet 20%
Budva Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grbalj Budva
Matches Played 30 10
Wins 15 2
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.5 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Druga Liga
Budva vs Grbalj
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grbalj 85 / 100
Budva 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grbalj Budva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grbalj Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Budva's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 10 matches.

Attacking prowess: Grbalj scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Grbalj stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grbalj VS Budva
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Grbalj

(Home)
04 Oct
Zeta
1 : 0
Grbalj
30 Sept
Iskra Danilovgrad
0 : 1
Grbalj
26 Sept
Grbalj
3 : 1
Rudar
20 Sept
Grbalj
3 : 0
Berane
12 Sept
Grbalj
1 : 1
Lovcen
Page 1 of 6

Budva

(Away)
04 Oct
Budva
1 : 1
Kom Podgorica
30 Sept
Budva
1 : 2
Lovcen
26 Sept
Jedinstvo
2 : 0
Budva
21 Sept
Budva
1 : 2
FK Podgorica
16 Sept
Berane
1 : 1
Budva
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Podgorica 10 5 5 0 18:11 20
2 Jedinstvo 10 6 2 2 17:11 20
3 Zeta 10 5 3 2 14:10 18
4 Grbalj 9 4 3 2 11:7 15
5 Iskra Danilovgrad 10 4 1 5 6:9 13
6 Lovcen 10 4 1 5 14:18 13
7 Kom Podgorica 9 3 3 3 11:9 12
8 Rudar 10 3 3 4 14:15 12
9 Budva 10 2 3 5 12:13 9
10 Berane 10 0 2 8 6:20 2
Promotion - Prva Crnogorska Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druga Liga (Promotion)
Promotion - Druga Liga (Relegation)