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Grbalj vs Rudar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Montenegro Montenegro

Druga Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Tadic M.
42' Event
Kovacevic D.
45' Event
Tadic M.

AI Match Summary

Grbalj in this Druga Liga matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grbalj.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Grbalj
20%
Draws
33%
Rudar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grbalj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Grbalj have won more games recently than Rudar.
  • Model gives Grbalj a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Druga Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Grbalj Clean Sheet 20%
Rudar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grbalj Rudar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Druga Liga
Grbalj vs Rudar
3:1
Apr 8, 2026 Druga Liga
Rudar vs Grbalj
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 Druga Liga
Grbalj vs Rudar
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 Druga Liga
Rudar vs Grbalj
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 Druga Liga
Grbalj vs Rudar
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grbalj Compare

Top Goalscorer Tadic M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kovacevic D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Rudar Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Guimaraes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grbalj 40 / 100
Rudar 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grbalj Rudar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grbalj Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grbalj found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Rudar conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Grbalj has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Grbalj VS Rudar
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Grbalj

(Home)
04 Oct
Zeta
1 : 0
Grbalj
30 Sept
Iskra Danilovgrad
0 : 1
Grbalj
26 Sept
Grbalj
3 : 1
Rudar
20 Sept
Grbalj
3 : 0
Berane
12 Sept
Grbalj
1 : 1
Lovcen
Page 1 of 6

Rudar

(Away)
06 Oct
Iskra Danilovgrad
1 : 0
Rudar
30 Sept
Rudar
4 : 0
Berane
26 Sept
Grbalj
3 : 1
Rudar
20 Sept
Rudar
1 : 1
Kom Podgorica
16 Sept
Lovcen
2 : 4
Rudar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Podgorica 10 5 5 0 18:11 20
2 Jedinstvo 10 6 2 2 17:11 20
3 Zeta 10 5 3 2 14:10 18
4 Grbalj 9 4 3 2 11:7 15
5 Iskra Danilovgrad 10 4 1 5 6:9 13
6 Lovcen 10 4 1 5 14:18 13
7 Kom Podgorica 9 3 3 3 11:9 12
8 Rudar 10 3 3 4 14:15 12
9 Budva 10 2 3 5 12:13 9
10 Berane 10 0 2 8 6:20 2
Promotion - Prva Crnogorska Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druga Liga (Promotion)
Promotion - Druga Liga (Relegation)