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Grebbestad vs Karlstad II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Cehajic K.
90' Event
Hogblom S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland game between Grebbestad and Karlstad II finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Grebbestad
15%
Draws
8%
Karlstad II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grebbestad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Grebbestad come out ahead of Karlstad II on wins alone.
  • 77% — that's where the model lands on Grebbestad taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Grebbestad Clean Sheet 20%
Karlstad II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grebbestad Karlstad II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 4
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.76 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Karlstad II vs Grebbestad
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Grebbestad vs Karlstad II
1:1
Oct 16, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Grebbestad vs Karlstad II
6:1
Aug 15, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Karlstad II vs Grebbestad
2:2
Sep 5, 2020 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Karlstad II vs Grebbestad
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grebbestad Compare

Top Goalscorer Hogblom S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Karlstad II Compare

Top Goalscorer Cehajic K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grebbestad 85 / 100
Karlstad II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grebbestad Karlstad II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grebbestad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grebbestad found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Karlstad II conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Grebbestad has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Grebbestad VS Karlstad II
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Grebbestad

(Home)
05 Oct
Herrestads AIF
3 : 1
Grebbestad
26 Sept
Grebbestad
3 : 1
Skara
19 Sept
Motala
1 : 3
Grebbestad
11 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Grebbestad
06 Sept
Grebbestad
0 : 1
Lidkoping
Page 1 of 6

Karlstad II

(Away)
04 Oct
Karlstad II
1 : 3
Tord
27 Sept
IFK Skovde
1 : 0
Karlstad II
20 Sept
Karlstad II
0 : 2
Stenungsunds IF
12 Sept
Karlstad II
1 : 4
Skara
05 Sept
Herrestads AIF
2 : 2
Karlstad II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 24 20 3 1 58:18 63
2 Skara 24 16 5 3 51:26 53
3 IFK Skovde 24 14 5 5 42:25 47
4 Ahlafors 24 12 7 5 55:28 43
5 Grebbestad 24 12 3 9 43:36 39
6 Herrestads AIF 24 10 7 7 44:42 37
7 Stenungsunds IF 24 9 6 9 42:33 33
8 Vanersborgs FK 25 8 5 12 33:43 29
9 Lidkoping 24 7 6 11 29:42 27
10 Motala 24 6 8 10 35:38 26
11 Kumla 25 6 8 11 26:45 26
12 Tord 24 4 9 11 29:43 21
13 Karlstad II 24 2 7 15 24:47 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 24 2 3 19 24:69 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)