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Grebbestad vs Vanersborgs IF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Nilsson F.
18' Event
Cederlund J.
26' Event
Edh O.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland game between Grebbestad and Vanersborgs IF finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grebbestad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Grebbestad
30%
Draws
12%
Vanersborgs IF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grebbestad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Grebbestad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Grebbestad taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Grebbestad Clean Sheet 17%
Vanersborgs IF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grebbestad Vanersborgs IF
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 5
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.83 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Grebbestad vs Vanersborgs IF
4:3
Aug 16, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Grebbestad
1:1
May 23, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Grebbestad vs Vanersborgs IF
3:0
Oct 4, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Grebbestad
2:0
Jun 20, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Grebbestad vs Vanersborgs IF
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grebbestad Compare

Top Goalscorer Cederlund J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Book R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Vanersborgs IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Nilsson F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Edh O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grebbestad 66 / 100
Vanersborgs IF 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grebbestad Vanersborgs IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grebbestad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grebbestad scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Vanersborgs IF conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Grebbestad remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Grebbestad VS Vanersborgs IF
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Grebbestad

(Home)
30 Aug
Husqvarna
3 : 2
Grebbestad
22 Aug
Grebbestad
1 : 1
Stenungsunds IF
14 Aug
Ahlafors
3 : 1
Grebbestad
08 Aug
Grebbestad
1 : 1
IFK Skovde
31 Jul
Karlstad II
1 : 2
Grebbestad
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Vanersborgs IF

(Away)
30 Aug
Vanersborgs IF
0 : 1
Tord
21 Aug
Herrestads AIF
3 : 0
Vanersborgs IF
17 Aug
Vanersborgs IF
0 : 2
Vanersborgs FK
08 Aug
Kumla
2 : 1
Vanersborgs IF
01 Aug
Vanersborgs IF
3 : 3
Motala
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 19 16 3 0 47:14 51
2 Skara 19 12 5 2 37:21 41
3 IFK Skovde 19 11 4 4 37:24 37
4 Ahlafors 19 9 7 3 45:23 34
5 Grebbestad 19 9 3 7 34:29 30
6 Herrestads AIF 19 8 6 5 36:32 30
7 Stenungsunds IF 19 7 5 7 33:26 26
8 Vanersborgs FK 19 6 4 9 26:34 22
9 Motala 19 5 6 8 26:27 21
10 Kumla 19 5 5 9 20:37 20
11 Tord 19 2 9 8 22:32 15
12 Lidkoping 19 3 6 10 20:38 15
13 Karlstad II 19 2 6 11 20:35 12
14 Vanersborgs IF 19 2 3 14 20:51 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)