Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grecia vs AD Sarchi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Montero J.

AI Match Summary

Grecia in this Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grecia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Grecia
20%
Draws
34%
AD Sarchi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grecia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Sarchi average 1.31 goals a game right now, well clear of Grecia's 1.15.
  • Win probability leans Grecia's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Grecia Clean Sheet 20%
AD Sarchi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grecia AD Sarchi
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.15 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Grecia vs AD Sarchi
1:0
Apr 12, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Grecia
1:1
Feb 26, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Grecia vs AD Sarchi
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Grecia vs AD Sarchi
1:3
Sep 28, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Grecia
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grecia Compare

Top Goalscorer Montero J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

AD Sarchi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grecia 67 / 100
AD Sarchi 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grecia AD Sarchi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grecia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Sarchi let in goals in 88% of their last 26 matches.

Grecia scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Grecia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grecia VS AD Sarchi
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Grecia

(Home)
04 Oct
Grecia
1 : 0
Santa Cruz
27 Sept
Quepos FC
1 : 0
Grecia
13 Sept
Grecia
1 : 1
ADR Jicaral
08 Sept
Cofutpa
0 : 0
Grecia
30 Aug
Grecia
1 : 0
AD Sarchi
Page 1 of 6

AD Sarchi

(Away)
27 Sept
AD Sarchi
0 : 1
ADR Jicaral
19 Sept
Cofutpa
1 : 2
AD Sarchi
13 Sept
Santa Cruz
4 : 0
AD Sarchi
06 Sept
AD Sarchi
2 : 1
AD Rosario
30 Aug
Grecia
1 : 0
AD Sarchi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 14 9 3 2 25:12 30
2 Inter San Carlos 14 8 4 2 25:14 28
3 Quepos FC 14 9 1 4 30:21 28
4 Santa Cruz 14 4 5 5 19:17 17
5 Grecia 14 4 5 5 16:18 17
6 AD Sarchi 14 4 5 5 19:23 17
7 Cofutpa 14 2 4 8 14:27 10
8 Dep. Upala 14 0 5 9 15:31 5
9 Municipal Turrialba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Escorpiones 14 10 2 2 33:10 32
2 CS Uruguay 14 7 2 5 25:20 23
3 Pitbulls 14 6 4 4 20:16 22
4 FC Moravia 14 5 4 5 19:19 19
5 Cariari Pococi 14 3 6 5 19:23 15
6 Aserri 14 2 8 4 15:28 14
7 Santa Ana 13 3 3 7 19:28 12
8 Carmelita 13 2 5 6 10:16 11
9 Limon Black Star 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)