Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grecia vs Dep. Upala

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Calvo E.
Own Goal
10' Event
Bustos Golobio J.
67' Event
Saenz J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Grecia
20%
Draws
0%
Dep. Upala
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grecia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Grecia have won more games recently than Dep. Upala.
  • Win probability leans Grecia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Grecia Clean Sheet 20%
Dep. Upala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grecia Dep. Upala
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 8 2
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.19 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.35 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Grecia vs Dep. Upala
2:2
Jan 29, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Dep. Upala vs Grecia
0:0
Oct 5, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Dep. Upala vs Grecia
2:1
Aug 19, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Grecia vs Dep. Upala
1:4
Mar 8, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Grecia vs Dep. Upala
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grecia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ugalde J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Dep. Upala Compare

Top Goalscorer Bustos Golobio J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saenz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grecia 85 / 100
Dep. Upala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grecia Dep. Upala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grecia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grecia found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (26 games).

Dep. Upala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Dep. Upala's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Grecia VS Dep. Upala
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.83
88% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Grecia

(Home)
13 Sept
Grecia
1 : 1
ADR Jicaral
08 Sept
Cofutpa
0 : 0
Grecia
30 Aug
Grecia
1 : 0
AD Sarchi
23 Aug
AD Rosario
3 : 2
Grecia
16 Aug
Santa Cruz
1 : 2
Grecia
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Dep. Upala

(Away)
12 Apr
Dep. Upala
0 : 3
ADR Jicaral
29 Mar
Dep. Upala
1 : 2
Santa Cruz
21 Mar
AD Sarchi
3 : 1
Dep. Upala
15 Mar
Dep. Upala
1 : 2
Quepos FC
12 Mar
Inter San Carlos
1 : 0
Dep. Upala
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 14 9 3 2 25:12 30
2 Inter San Carlos 14 8 4 2 25:14 28
3 Quepos FC 14 9 1 4 30:21 28
4 Santa Cruz 14 4 5 5 19:17 17
5 Grecia 14 4 5 5 16:18 17
6 AD Sarchi 14 4 5 5 19:23 17
7 Cofutpa 14 2 4 8 14:27 10
8 Dep. Upala 14 0 5 9 15:31 5
9 Municipal Turrialba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Escorpiones 14 10 2 2 33:10 32
2 CS Uruguay 14 7 2 5 25:20 23
3 Pitbulls 14 6 4 4 20:16 22
4 FC Moravia 14 5 4 5 19:19 19
5 Cariari Pococi 14 3 6 5 19:23 15
6 Aserri 14 2 8 4 15:28 14
7 Santa Ana 13 3 3 7 19:28 12
8 Carmelita 13 2 5 6 10:16 11
9 Limon Black Star 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)