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Greece U21 vs Latvia U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Levadia Stadium, Levadia
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Almyras C.
Assist: Pnevmonidis S.
17' Event
Kostoulas K.
Assist: Goumas K.
27' Event
Patrikejevs I.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 game between Greece U21 and Latvia U21 finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Greece U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Greece U21
30%
Draws
23%
Latvia U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Greece U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Greece U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Greece U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Greece U21 have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Greece U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Latvia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Greece U21 Latvia U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.83 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2026 Euro U21
Greece U21 vs Latvia U21
4:2
Oct 14, 2025 Euro U21
Latvia U21 vs Greece U21
0:1
Jun 7, 1999 Euro U21
Greece U21 vs Latvia U21
6:0
Mar 29, 1999 Euro U21
Latvia U21 vs Greece U21
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Greece U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Almyras C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kostoulas K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Latvia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Patrikejevs I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lizunovs V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Greece U21 85 / 100
Latvia U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Greece U21 Latvia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Greece U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Greece U21 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Latvia U21 conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Greece U21 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Greece U21 VS Latvia U21
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Greece U21

(Home)
06 Oct
Northern Ireland U21
0 : 1
Greece U21
01 Oct
Greece U21
4 : 2
Latvia U21
26 Sept
Georgia U21
0 : 3
Greece U21
30 May
Croatia U21
1 : 1
Greece U21
27 May
Greece U21
1 : 2
Qatar U23
Page 1 of 6

Latvia U21

(Away)
06 Oct
Latvia U21
2 : 0
Malta U21
01 Oct
Greece U21
4 : 2
Latvia U21
26 Sept
Latvia U21
0 : 4
Germany U21
09 Jun
Lithuania U21
2 : 2
Latvia U21
05 Jun
Latvia U21
1 : 1
Estonia U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 10 9 0 1 47:5 27
2 Finland U21 10 7 2 1 34:7 23
3 Romania U21 10 5 1 4 12:13 16
4 Kosovo U21 10 4 3 3 21:11 15
5 Cyprus U21 10 2 0 8 8:29 6
6 San Marino U21 10 0 0 10 0:57 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 10 8 1 1 35:2 25
2 Czech Republic U21 10 5 3 2 17:6 18
3 Scotland U21 10 5 2 3 25:12 17
4 Bulgaria U21 10 4 2 4 9:10 14
5 Azerbaijan U21 10 2 4 4 11:24 10
6 Gibraltar U21 10 0 0 10 1:44 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 10 8 2 0 34:8 26
2 Iceland U21 10 5 3 2 22:11 18
3 Switzerland U21 10 5 2 3 17:17 17
4 Faroe Islands U21 10 4 0 6 8:17 12
5 Luxembourg U21 10 3 1 6 13:22 10
6 Estonia U21 10 0 2 8 9:28 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 10 7 2 1 23:7 23
2 Ireland U21 10 6 2 2 16:14 20
3 Slovakia U21 10 6 2 2 17:13 20
4 Moldova U21 10 2 3 5 12:19 9
5 Andorra U21 10 2 2 6 7:12 8
6 Kazakhstan U21 10 1 1 8 11:21 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U21 10 9 0 1 32:7 27
2 Poland U21 10 9 0 1 28:8 27
3 Sweden U21 10 4 1 5 12:22 13
4 Montenegro U21 10 3 3 4 13:16 12
5 North Macedonia U21 10 2 1 7 8:20 7
6 Armenia U21 10 0 1 9 5:25 1
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 10 9 0 1 32:5 27
2 Greece U21 10 9 0 1 29:6 27
3 Northern Ireland U21 10 4 2 4 13:13 14
4 Georgia U21 10 2 4 4 13:15 10
5 Latvia U21 10 2 2 6 8:20 8
6 Malta U21 10 0 0 10 2:38 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 8 5 2 1 19:6 17
2 Netherlands U21 8 3 3 2 15:10 12
3 Israel U21 8 2 5 1 10:10 11
4 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 8 1 4 3 3:11 7
5 Slovenia U21 8 1 2 5 7:17 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 8 6 1 1 15:3 19
2 Turkey U21 8 3 4 1 9:8 13
3 Ukraine U21 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
4 Hungary U21 8 1 4 3 9:13 7
5 Lithuania U21 8 0 2 6 4:17 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 8 5 2 1 13:2 17
2 Denmark U21 8 4 3 1 15:6 15
3 Austria U21 8 4 2 2 15:9 14
4 Wales U21 8 2 0 6 7:28 6
5 Belarus U21 8 1 1 6 7:12 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)