Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Greece vs Denmark

World World

World Championship 2026 Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Damsgaard M.
Assist: Hojbjerg P.
45'
Koulierakis K.
46'
Sub
Konstantelias G. In: Masouras G.
Out: Konstantelias G.

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Greece and Denmark finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Denmark.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Greece
35%
Draws
45%
Denmark
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Denmark

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Greece carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Greece Clean Sheet 10%
Denmark Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Greece Denmark
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 4 9
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.83 1.72
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 World Championship
Denmark vs Greece
3:1
Sep 8, 2025 World Championship
Greece vs Denmark
0:3
Feb 11, 2009 Friendly International
Greece vs Denmark
1:1
Oct 8, 2005 World Championship
Denmark vs Greece
1:0
Feb 9, 2005 World Championship
Greece vs Denmark
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Greece Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Denmark Compare

Top Goalscorer Damsgaard M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Christensen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Greece 30 / 100
Denmark 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Greece Denmark

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denmark Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Greece found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Greece has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Denmark let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Greece VS Denmark
1.25 Goals Scored 2.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Greece

(Home)
07 Jun
Greece
0 : 1
Italy
04 Jun
Sweden
2 : 2
Greece
31 Mar
Hungary
0 : 0
Greece
27 Mar
Greece
0 : 1
Paraguay
18 Nov
Belarus
0 : 0
Greece
Page 1 of 6

Denmark

(Away)
07 Jun
Denmark
2 : 1
Ukraine
03 Jun
D.R. Congo
0 : 0
Denmark
31 Mar
Czech Republic
3 : 2
Denmark
26 Mar
Denmark
4 : 0
North Macedonia
18 Nov
Scotland
4 : 2
Denmark
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Slovakia 6 4 0 2 6:8 12
3 Northern Ireland 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
4 Luxembourg 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 6 4 2 0 14:2 14
2 Kosovo 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 0 4 2 3:8 4
4 Sweden 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Denmark 6 3 2 1 16:7 11
3 Greece 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
4 Belarus 6 0 2 4 4:17 2
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Ukraine 6 3 1 2 10:11 10
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Turkey 6 4 1 1 17:12 13
3 Georgia 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
4 Bulgaria 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 6 4 1 1 20:7 13
2 Ireland 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Hungary 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
4 Armenia 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 8 6 2 0 27:4 20
2 Poland 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Finland 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Malta 8 1 2 5 4:19 5
5 Lithuania 8 0 3 5 6:15 3
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 8 6 1 1 22:4 19
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Romania 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
4 Cyprus 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
5 San Marino 8 0 0 8 2:39 0
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 8 8 0 0 37:5 24
2 Italy 8 6 0 2 21:12 18
3 Israel 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Estonia 8 1 1 6 8:21 4
5 Moldova 8 0 1 7 5:32 1
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League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 8 5 3 0 29:7 18
2 Wales 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
3 North Macedonia 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
4 Kazakhstan 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
5 Liechtenstein 8 0 0 8 0:31 0
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League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 8 8 0 0 22:0 24
2 Albania 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
3 Serbia 8 4 1 3 9:10 13
4 Latvia 8 1 2 5 5:15 5
5 Andorra 8 0 1 7 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia 8 7 1 0 26:4 22
2 Czech Republic 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
3 Faroe Islands 8 4 0 4 11:9 12
4 Montenegro 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
5 Gibraltar 8 0 0 8 3:28 0
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