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World Championship 2026 Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium

Denmark

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Greece play Denmark in the World Championship 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Greece averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Denmark averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Greece won 1, Denmark won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 12, 2025 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Greece and 2.38 for Denmark. This points to a Denmark double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Greece

21%

Draws

41%

Denmark

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Denmark

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Greece picked up more points recently compared to Denmark.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 2.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%

Greece Clean Sheet 10%

Denmark Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Greece	Denmark
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	15	14
Draws	4	9
Losses	11	7
Goals Scored	1.77	1.73
Goals Conceded	1.03	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 World Championship

Denmark vs Greece

Possession: 48% - 54% Cards: 0 - 3

3:1

Sep 8, 2025 World Championship

Greece vs Denmark

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 2 - 3

0:3

Feb 11, 2009 Friendly International

Greece vs Denmark

Possession: 52% - 45% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Oct 8, 2005 World Championship

Denmark vs Greece

Possession: 52% - 54% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Feb 9, 2005 World Championship

Greece vs Denmark

Possession: 53% - 53% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Greece Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Denmark Compare

Top Goalscorer Damsgaard M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Christensen A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.85

Avg xA / game 1.74

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Greece 36 / 100

Denmark 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Greece Denmark

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Denmark or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Greece attacking → ← attacking Denmark

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Greece scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Denmark let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Greece went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Denmark lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 51

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 3.13

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0