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Greece W vs Ireland W Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Theodoros Vardinogiannis Stadium, Heraklion
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Toland T. In: Sheva M.
Out: Toland T.
46'
Sub
Campbell M. In: McCabe K.
Out: Campbell M.
49' Event
Sheva M.

AI Match Summary

Ireland W in this UEFA Nations League Women matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ireland W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Greece W
15%
Draws
35%
Ireland W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Greece W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Ireland W have won more games recently than Greece W.
  • Model gives Greece W a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Greece W Clean Sheet 20%
Ireland W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Greece W Ireland W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 5 2
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.34 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Ireland W vs Greece W
2:1
Apr 4, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Greece W vs Ireland W
0:4
Mar 5, 2020 Euro Women
Ireland W vs Greece W
1:0
Nov 12, 2019 Euro Women
Greece W vs Ireland W
1:1
Mar 20, 2004 Algarve Cup Women
Greece W vs Ireland W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Greece W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Ireland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sheva M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carusa K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Greece W 76 / 100
Ireland W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Greece W Ireland W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Greece W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Greece W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Greece W found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Ireland W conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Greece W VS Ireland W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Greece W

(Home)
09 Jun
Georgia W
2 : 3
Greece W
18 Apr
Greece W
1 : 1
Moldova W
14 Apr
Faroe Islands W
2 : 3
Greece W
07 Mar
Greece W
2 : 0
Faroe Islands W
03 Mar
Greece W
3 : 0
Georgia W
Page 1 of 6

Ireland W

(Away)
09 Jun
France W
1 : 0
Ireland W
05 Jun
Ireland W
3 : 2
Netherlands W
18 Apr
Ireland W
1 : 0
Poland W
14 Apr
Poland W
2 : 3
Ireland W
07 Mar
Netherlands W
2 : 1
Ireland W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland W 6 5 1 0 16:2 16
2 Northern Ireland W 6 2 2 2 6:10 8
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina W 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
4 Romania W 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovenia W 6 5 0 1 12:2 15
2 Ireland W 6 5 0 1 10:6 15
3 Turkey W 6 2 0 4 3:7 6
4 Greece W 6 0 0 6 2:12 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serbia W 6 4 2 0 7:1 14
2 Finland W 6 3 2 1 8:2 11
3 Hungary W 6 1 1 4 2:6 4
4 Belarus W 6 0 3 3 0:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine W 6 4 1 1 8:6 13
2 Czech Republic W 6 4 1 1 17:4 13
3 Albania W 6 2 0 4 10:12 6
4 Croatia W 6 1 0 5 4:17 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)