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Green Beret vs Niger Tornadoes

Nigeria Nigeria

Aiteo Cup 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Jonas E.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Niger Tornadoes advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Green Beret
35%
Draws
41%
Niger Tornadoes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Niger Tornadoes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Green Beret carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Green Beret have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Niger Tornadoes, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Green Beret Clean Sheet 20%
Niger Tornadoes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Green Beret Niger Tornadoes
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.93 0.84
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2022 Federation Cup
Green Beret vs Niger Tornadoes
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Green Beret Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Niger Tornadoes Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonas E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Green Beret 36 / 100
Niger Tornadoes 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Green Beret Niger Tornadoes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Niger Tornadoes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Green Beret scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Green Beret went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Niger Tornadoes has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Niger Tornadoes
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Green Beret

(Home)
10 Jun
FWC Champions
1 : 1
Green Beret
20 May
Green Beret
1 : 1
Katsina Utd
14 May
City FC Abuja
1 : 0
Green Beret
06 May
Nigeria Airforce FC
1 : 1
Green Beret
30 Apr
Green Beret
1 : 2
Jigawa Golden Stars
Page 1 of 6

Niger Tornadoes

(Away)
23 Sept
Niger Tornadoes
0 : 0
Warri Wolves
19 Sept
Katsina Utd
1 : 0
Niger Tornadoes
14 Sept
Niger Tornadoes
1 : 1
Plateau United
06 Sept
Kano Pillars
3 : 2
Niger Tornadoes
30 Aug
Niger Tornadoes
2 : 1
Enyimba International
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Bayelsa United 0
Green Beret 1
Enyimba International 0
Niger Tornadoes 1
Doma United 0
Lobi 3
Akure City 2
Bendel Feeders 1
Rangers International 1
Heartland FC 2
TBD -
Dakkada FC -
Sunshine Stars 5
Rovers FC 1
Cynosure 1
Katsina Utd 3
Fulfill 0
El Kanemi Warriors 1
Kwara 1
Wikki Tourists 2
Bendel 2
Ottasolo 1
Sokoto United 1
Nasarawa United 2
Remo Stars 0
Akwa United 3
Kogi United 3
Kanta 2
DMD 1
Housing CPT 0
Zamfara United 0
Kano Pillars 5
1/8-finals
Green Beret 0
Niger Tornadoes 1
Lobi 1
Akure City 0
Heartland FC 2
Dakkada FC 1
Sunshine Stars 1
Katsina Utd 2
El Kanemi Warriors 0
Wikki Tourists 1
Bendel 1
Nasarawa United 2
Akwa United 1
Kogi United 2
DMD 0
Kano Pillars 2
Quarter-finals
Niger Tornadoes -
Lobi -
Heartland FC 1
Katsina Utd 0
Wikki Tourists -
Nasarawa United -
Kogi United -
Kano Pillars -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -