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Green Buffaloes FC vs Mutondo Stars

Zambia Zambia

Super League
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AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Green Buffaloes FC and Mutondo Stars finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Green Buffaloes FC
40%
Draws
29%
Mutondo Stars
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Green Buffaloes FC and Mutondo Stars close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Green Buffaloes FC Clean Sheet 20%
Mutondo Stars Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Green Buffaloes FC Mutondo Stars
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 14 14
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Super League
Green Buffaloes FC vs Mutondo Stars
1:1
Nov 7, 2025 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Green Buffaloes FC
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 Super League
Green Buffaloes FC vs Mutondo Stars
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Green Buffaloes FC
1:4
Apr 28, 2024 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Green Buffaloes FC
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Green Buffaloes FC 32 / 100
Mutondo Stars 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Green Buffaloes FC Mutondo Stars

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mutondo Stars let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Green Buffaloes FC's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Green Buffaloes FC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Green Buffaloes FC VS Mutondo Stars
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%