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Green City vs Old Road

Antigua & Barbuda Antigua & Barbuda

ABFA Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The ABFA Premier League game between Green City and Old Road finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Old Road.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Green City
20%
Draws
40%
Old Road
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Green City haven't matched Old Road's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Old Road a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Old Road have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Green City Clean Sheet 10%
Old Road Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Green City Old Road
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.55 3.2
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 ABFA Premier League
Old Road vs Green City
2:2
Dec 15, 2025 ABFA Premier League
Green City vs Old Road
1:2
Dec 7, 2024 ABFA Premier League
Green City vs Old Road
1:3
May 5, 2024 ABFA Premier League
Old Road vs Green City
2:0
Dec 17, 2023 ABFA Premier League
Green City vs Old Road
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Green City 10 / 100
Old Road 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Green City Old Road

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Old Road Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Green City scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Old Road conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Old Road lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Green City VS Old Road
1.88 Goals Scored 2.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Green City

(Home)
26 Apr
Aston Villa
2 : 2
Green City
12 Apr
John Hughes
2 : 1
Green City
05 Apr
Green City
0 : 1
Pigotts Bullets
29 Mar
Green City
1 : 2
Potters FC
22 Mar
Ottos Rangers
1 : 4
Green City
Page 1 of 7

Old Road

(Away)
29 Apr
Old Road
0 : 3
Grenades
25 Apr
Old Road
14 : 0
Jennings Utd
04 Apr
Attacking Saints
3 : 3
Old Road
28 Mar
All Saints United
3 : 0
Old Road
22 Mar
Old Road
4 : 5
Aston Villa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grenades 22 19 2 1 65:18 59
2 All Saints United 22 18 2 2 72:19 56
3 Aston Villa 22 14 2 6 69:43 44
4 Pigotts Bullets 22 12 3 7 40:25 39
5 Old Road 22 10 6 6 75:37 36
6 Potters FC 22 9 6 7 41:36 33
7 Garden Stars 22 8 7 7 48:40 31
8 Green City 22 6 5 11 35:41 23
9 Attacking Saints 22 7 2 13 37:49 23
10 John Hughes 22 5 1 16 17:68 16
11 Ottos Rangers 22 3 2 17 24:67 11
12 Jennings Utd 22 2 0 20 10:90 6
Promotion - ABFA Premier League (Play Offs)