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Green Farmers vs Bumamuru

Burundi Burundi

Primus League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bumamuru in this Primus League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bumamuru.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Green Farmers
15%
Draws
85%
Bumamuru
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bumamuru

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bumamuru have won more games recently than Green Farmers.
  • Model gives Bumamuru a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Green Farmers Clean Sheet 10%
Bumamuru Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Green Farmers Bumamuru
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 1 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 25 11
Goals Scored 0.83 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.8 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Primus League
Green Farmers vs Bumamuru
1:2
Sep 24, 2025 Primus League
Bumamuru vs Green Farmers
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Green Farmers 10 / 100
Bumamuru 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Green Farmers Bumamuru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bumamuru Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Green Farmers scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Bumamuru let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Bumamuru's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Green Farmers VS Bumamuru
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
4.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Green Farmers

(Home)
08 May
Green Farmers
2 : 4
Muzinga
26 Apr
Flambeau du Centre
5 : 1
Green Farmers
12 Apr
Green Farmers
1 : 2
Bumamuru
19 Mar
Ngozi City
4 : 2
Green Farmers
16 Mar
Green Farmers
0 : 5
Inter Star
Page 1 of 6

Bumamuru

(Away)
20 Sept
Olympic Star
3 : 1
Bumamuru
28 Aug
Bumamuru
2 : 0
Musongati
22 Aug
Panthere Noir
1 : 1
Bumamuru
16 Aug
Bumamuru
0 : 1
Le Messager Ngozi
09 May
Musongati
3 : 0
Bumamuru
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aigle Noir 30 21 8 1 62:25 71
2 Musongati 30 17 8 5 42:21 59
3 Flambeau du Centre 30 16 8 6 42:23 56
4 Royal Vision 30 17 2 11 47:31 53
5 Rukinzo 30 14 8 8 49:28 50
6 Vital'O 30 14 8 8 45:27 50
7 Bumamuru 30 14 7 9 47:33 49
8 Muzinga 30 11 10 9 37:38 43
9 Olympic Star 30 10 9 11 36:35 39
10 Kayanza United 30 8 12 10 40:45 36
11 Le Messager Ngozi 30 8 9 13 31:33 33
12 Ngozi City 30 8 9 13 37:43 33
13 Inter Star 30 8 8 14 37:42 32
14 Dynamik 30 8 5 17 35:58 29
15 Garage Express 30 3 9 18 15:61 18
16 Green Farmers 30 1 4 25 25:84 7
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)