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Green Gully vs Preston Lions - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Green Gully Reserve, Melbourne
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Woerndl T.
30' Event
Brooks L.
(Penalty)
37' Event
Bozinovski M.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Victoria game between Green Gully and Preston Lions finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Preston Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Green Gully
35%
Draws
32%
Preston Lions
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Preston Lions come out ahead of Green Gully on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular NPL Victoria form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Green Gully Clean Sheet 10%
Preston Lions Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Green Gully Preston Lions
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 17
Draws 8 6
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 0.9 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.93 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 NPL Victoria
Preston Lions vs Green Gully
2:2
Apr 24, 2026 NPL Victoria
Green Gully vs Preston Lions
0:4
Aug 15, 2025 NPL Victoria
Green Gully vs Preston Lions
0:1
May 2, 2025 NPL Victoria
Preston Lions vs Green Gully
3:2
Jun 20, 2009 NPL Victoria
Green Gully vs Preston Lions
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Green Gully Compare

Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6

Preston Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Bozinovski M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Romero J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Green Gully 30 / 100
Preston Lions 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Green Gully Preston Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Green Gully's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Green Gully remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Preston Lions let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Green Gully VS Preston Lions
1.43 Goals Scored 2.25
1.86 Goals Conceded 1
86% Over 1.5 75%
86% Over 2.5 75%
57% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Green Gully

(Home)
29 Aug
Melbourne City U21
1 : 2
Green Gully
21 Aug
Green Gully
1 : 2
St Albans
14 Aug
Oakleigh Cannons
4 : 1
Green Gully
31 Jul
Preston Lions
2 : 2
Green Gully
24 Jul
Green Gully
0 : 0
Dandenong City SC
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Preston Lions

(Away)
05 Sept
Avondale FC
2 : 0
Preston Lions
29 Aug
Preston Lions
1 : 1
Altona Magic
26 Aug
Preston Lions
1 : 2
South Melbourne
22 Aug
Dandenong City SC
0 : 0
Preston Lions
19 Aug
Preston Lions
4 : 0
Melbourne City U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oakleigh Cannons 26 16 6 4 56:24 54
2 Hume City 26 15 4 7 51:36 49
3 Avondale FC 26 15 2 9 65:34 47
4 South Melbourne 26 13 2 11 39:36 41
5 Heidelberg Utd 26 11 7 8 42:34 40
6 Preston Lions 26 15 6 5 41:19 39
7 George Cross 26 9 11 6 35:34 38
8 St Albans 26 9 7 10 36:43 34
9 Dandenong City SC 26 10 7 9 35:31 33
10 Melbourne City U21 26 8 6 12 42:42 30
11 Altona Magic 26 7 7 12 28:42 28
12 Bentleigh Greens 26 6 6 14 27:51 24
13 Green Gully 26 4 6 16 23:52 18
14 Dandenong Thunder 26 4 3 19 23:65 15
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)