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Green Gully vs St Albans

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Green Gully Reserve, Melbourne
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Match Events

50' Event
Jarome C.
78' Event
Platt M.
90' Event
Alessi D.

AI Match Summary

St Albans in this NPL Victoria matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored St Albans.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Green Gully
30%
Draws
47%
St Albans
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St Albans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Green Gully haven't matched St Albans's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans St Albans's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Green Gully Clean Sheet 15%
St Albans Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Green Gully St Albans
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.9 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 NPL Victoria
Green Gully vs St Albans
1:2
May 8, 2026 NPL Victoria
St Albans vs Green Gully
1:0
Jul 25, 2025 NPL Victoria
Green Gully vs St Albans
2:2
Apr 13, 2025 NPL Victoria
St Albans vs Green Gully
1:2
Aug 11, 2024 NPL Victoria
St Albans vs Green Gully
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Green Gully Compare

Top Goalscorer Alessi D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

St Albans Compare

Top Goalscorer Jarome C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Platt M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Green Gully 19 / 100
St Albans 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Green Gully St Albans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Albans Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St Albans let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Green Gully scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Green Gully remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Green Gully VS St Albans
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Green Gully

(Home)
29 Aug
Melbourne City U21
1 : 2
Green Gully
21 Aug
Green Gully
1 : 2
St Albans
14 Aug
Oakleigh Cannons
4 : 1
Green Gully
31 Jul
Preston Lions
2 : 2
Green Gully
24 Jul
Green Gully
0 : 0
Dandenong City SC
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St Albans

(Away)
29 Aug
St Albans
6 : 0
Dandenong Thunder
21 Aug
Green Gully
1 : 2
St Albans
14 Aug
St Albans
1 : 1
Bentleigh Greens
02 Aug
South Melbourne
2 : 0
St Albans
24 Jul
St Albans
3 : 2
Hume City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oakleigh Cannons 26 16 6 4 56:24 54
2 Hume City 26 15 4 7 51:36 49
3 Avondale FC 26 15 2 9 65:34 47
4 South Melbourne 26 13 2 11 39:36 41
5 Heidelberg Utd 26 11 7 8 42:34 40
6 Preston Lions 26 15 6 5 41:19 39
7 George Cross 26 9 11 6 35:34 38
8 St Albans 26 9 7 10 36:43 34
9 Dandenong City SC 26 10 7 9 35:31 33
10 Melbourne City U21 26 8 6 12 42:42 30
11 Altona Magic 26 7 7 12 28:42 28
12 Bentleigh Greens 26 6 6 14 27:51 24
13 Green Gully 26 4 6 16 23:52 18
14 Dandenong Thunder 26 4 3 19 23:65 15
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)