Sport Picks
Greenville Triumph vs Union Omaha Prediction & H2H Stats
USA
USL League One Paladin Stadium, Greenville, SC 
Match Events
4'
4'
Nour M.
Assist: Villanueva A.
10'
10'
Ors Navarro S.
Assist: Boudadi Y.
32'
32'
Caceres E.
AI Match Summary
The USL League One game between Greenville Triumph and Union Omaha finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Omaha.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union Omaha
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Greenville Triumph haven't matched Union Omaha's recent run of results.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Union Omaha taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Greenville Triumph Clean Sheet 11%
Union Omaha Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Greenville Triumph | Union Omaha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 6 | 21 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 18 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Union Omaha
1:3
May 3, 2026 USL League One
Union Omaha vs Greenville Triumph
2:0
Oct 11, 2025 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Union Omaha
0:0
Jun 13, 2025 USL League One
Union Omaha vs Greenville Triumph
1:0
Mar 12, 2025 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Union Omaha
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Greenville Triumph Compare
Top Goalscorer Nour M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Union Omaha Compare
Top Goalscorer Ors Navarro S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Caceres E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Greenville Triumph 10 / 100
Union Omaha 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Greenville Triumph Union Omaha
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Union Omaha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Union Omaha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 33 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Greenville Triumph's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Greenville Triumph VS Union Omaha
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Greenville Triumph
(Home) 26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Union Omaha
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0 Greenville Triumph
16 Sept
Greenville Triumph
0 : 1 Corpus Christi FC
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Fort Wayne
05 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 1 Greenville Triumph
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Union Omaha
16 Sept
Greenville Triumph
0 : 1 Corpus Christi FC
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Fort Wayne
29 Aug
Greenville Triumph
4 : 0 FC Naples
15 Aug
Greenville Triumph
1 : 1 One Knoxville
Page 1 of 3
Union Omaha
(Away) 26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Union Omaha
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1 One Knoxville
16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1 Spokane Velocity
13 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 2 Union Omaha
06 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 0 Charlotte Independence
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Union Omaha
13 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 2 Union Omaha
26 Aug
FC Naples
2 : 0 Union Omaha
08 Aug
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 3 Union Omaha
01 Aug
Fort Wayne
0 : 2 Union Omaha
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53:31 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 67:42 | 60 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 50:27 | 52 |
| 4 | Athletic Club Boise | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 49 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 46:34 | 48 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 50:40 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 42:36 | 39 |
| 9 | Corpus Christi FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 32:40 | 36 |
| 10 | FC Naples | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 32:44 | 34 |
| 11 | Westchester SC | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 48:46 | 33 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39:43 | 33 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 43:53 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 36:56 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:58 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
