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Greifswalder FC vs Babelsberg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Wegener P.
(Penalty)
70' Event
Leipertz R.
77' Event
Kroll-Thiel C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Greifswalder FC in this Regionalliga Nordost matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Greifswalder FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Greifswalder FC
30%
Draws
31%
Babelsberg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Greifswalder FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Greifswalder FC have won more games recently than Babelsberg.
  • Model gives Greifswalder FC a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Regionalliga Nordost form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Greifswalder FC Clean Sheet 17%
Babelsberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Greifswalder FC Babelsberg
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 12
Draws 10 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.07 2.26
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Babelsberg
2:1
Apr 8, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Babelsberg
0:0
Aug 27, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Babelsberg vs Greifswalder FC
3:1
Feb 8, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Babelsberg
2:1
Aug 21, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Babelsberg vs Greifswalder FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Greifswalder FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Leipertz R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Babelsberg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Greifswalder FC 48 / 100
Babelsberg 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Greifswalder FC Babelsberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Greifswalder FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Greifswalder FC found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Babelsberg conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Greifswalder FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Greifswalder FC VS Babelsberg
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Greifswalder FC

(Home)
11 Oct
Greifswalder FC
1 : 0
Aue
25 Sept
BFC Dynamo
1 : 0
Greifswalder FC
20 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 1
Luckenwalde
16 Sept
Rsv Eintracht
1 : 2
Greifswalder FC
13 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 3
Lokomotive Leipzig
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Babelsberg

(Away)
11 Oct
Babelsberg
0 : 0
Lokomotive Leipzig
27 Sept
Luckenwalde
2 : 3
Babelsberg
19 Sept
Babelsberg
0 : 2
Hertha Berlin II
16 Sept
Chemnitzer
0 : 1
Babelsberg
12 Sept
Babelsberg
1 : 1
Hallescher
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 11 8 3 0 36:11 27
2 Chemnitzer 11 8 2 1 25:5 26
3 BFC Dynamo 12 7 3 2 21:12 24
4 Jena 12 7 1 4 21:11 22
5 Hallescher 11 6 4 1 18:9 22
6 Altglienicke 12 6 3 3 20:15 21
7 Aue 11 6 3 2 20:16 21
8 Greifswalder FC 11 5 4 2 23:16 19
9 Zwickau 12 5 3 4 15:17 18
10 Lokomotive Leipzig 11 4 3 4 23:23 15
11 Magdeburg II 12 4 1 7 21:25 13
12 Babelsberg 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 BFC Preussen 12 2 5 5 15:18 11
14 Hertha Berlin II 12 2 4 6 10:22 10
15 Chemie Leipzig 12 2 3 7 13:20 9
16 Rsv Eintracht 11 1 3 7 13:29 6
17 Luckenwalde 12 2 0 10 12:29 6
18 SV Tasmania Berlin 12 1 2 9 13:38 5
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)