Sport Picks
Greifswalder FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig
Germany
Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 
Match Events
4'
4'
Wagner T.
65'
65'
Adetula A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
33%
40%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Lokomotive Leipzig
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Greifswalder FC haven't matched Lokomotive Leipzig's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Lokomotive Leipzig's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Greifswalder FC Clean Sheet 14%
Lokomotive Leipzig Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Greifswalder FC | Lokomotive Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.75 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.75 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig
1:1
Nov 21, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Lokomotive Leipzig vs Greifswalder FC
3:0
Apr 25, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Lokomotive Leipzig vs Greifswalder FC
0:0
Nov 3, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig
1:1
Feb 18, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Greifswalder FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Wagner T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38
Lokomotive Leipzig Compare
Top Goalscorer Adetula A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Greifswalder FC 27 / 100
Lokomotive Leipzig 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Greifswalder FC Lokomotive Leipzig
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LOK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Greifswalder FC's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Lokomotive Leipzig's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Greifswalder FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Greifswalder FC VS Lokomotive Leipzig
2.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Greifswalder FC
(Home) 26 Jul
Greifswalder FC
2 : 2 Hallescher
18 Jul
Phonix Lubeck
1 : 1 Greifswalder FC
15 Jul
Hansa Rostock
3 : 0 Greifswalder FC
11 Jul
Greifswalder FC
0 : 0 Lubeck
11 Jul
Greifswalder FC
5 : 3 TSG Neustrelitz
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Greifswalder FC
2 : 2 Hallescher
11 Jul
Greifswalder FC
0 : 0 Lubeck
11 Jul
Greifswalder FC
5 : 3 TSG Neustrelitz
04 Jul
Greifswalder FC
6 : 1 Wismar
04 Jul
Greifswalder FC
1 : 1 Hamburger II
Page 1 of 3
Lokomotive Leipzig
(Away) 24 Jul
Luckenwalde
1 : 3 Lokomotive Leipzig
17 Jul
Lokomotive Leipzig
2 : 0 Hallescher
11 Jul
Lokomotive Leipzig
1 : 3 Hertha Berlin
04 Jul
Lokomotive Leipzig
3 : 3 SK Kladno
01 Jun
Wurzburger Kickers
2 : 1 Lokomotive Leipzig
Page 1 of 6
24 Jul
Luckenwalde
1 : 3 Lokomotive Leipzig
01 Jun
Wurzburger Kickers
2 : 1 Lokomotive Leipzig
10 May
Greifswalder FC
1 : 1 Lokomotive Leipzig
24 Apr
BFC Dynamo
0 : 1 Lokomotive Leipzig
12 Apr
Chemie Leipzig
1 : 0 Lokomotive Leipzig
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 65:30 | 72 |
| 2 | Jena | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 65:35 | 72 |
| 3 | Zwickau | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 52:44 | 64 |
| 4 | Hallescher | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 63:36 | 63 |
| 5 | Erfurt | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 68:47 | 61 |
| 6 | Altglienicke | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 50:40 | 53 |
| 7 | Chemnitzer | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 56:52 | 51 |
| 8 | BFC Preussen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 50:55 | 50 |
| 9 | Magdeburg II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 61:55 | 49 |
| 10 | Luckenwalde | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 36:45 | 43 |
| 11 | Babelsberg | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 67:65 | 41 |
| 12 | BFC Dynamo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45:50 | 40 |
| 13 | Chemie Leipzig | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 43:49 | 40 |
| 14 | Hertha Berlin II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 46:60 | 40 |
| 15 | Greifswalder FC | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:45 | 38 |
| 16 | Meuselwitz | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 44:61 | 33 |
| 17 | Eilenburg | 34 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 35:68 | 23 |
| 18 | Hertha Zehlendorf | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 30:79 | 14 |
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
