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Gremio Anapolis vs Morrinhos

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Lopes Ferreira L.

AI Match Summary

The Goiano 2 game between Gremio Anapolis and Morrinhos finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Morrinhos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Gremio Anapolis
35%
Draws
41%
Morrinhos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Morrinhos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Morrinhos come out ahead of Gremio Anapolis on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Goiano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Gremio Anapolis Clean Sheet 68%
Morrinhos Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Anapolis Morrinhos
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 8
Draws 11 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Goiano 2
Gremio Anapolis vs Morrinhos
0:1
Jul 30, 2025 Goiano 2
Morrinhos vs Gremio Anapolis
2:2
May 21, 2025 Goiano 2
Gremio Anapolis vs Morrinhos
0:0
Jan 22, 2023 Goiano
Morrinhos vs Gremio Anapolis
4:0
Feb 13, 2022 Goiano
Morrinhos vs Gremio Anapolis
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio Anapolis Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Morrinhos Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopes Ferreira L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Anapolis 41 / 100
Morrinhos 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Anapolis Morrinhos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio Anapolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gremio Anapolis scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Morrinhos conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Gremio Anapolis stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Anapolis VS Morrinhos
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio Anapolis

(Home)
13 Sept
Goianesia
2 : 2
Gremio Anapolis
09 Sept
Gremio Anapolis
1 : 1
Sao Luis
05 Sept
Tupy FC
1 : 1
Gremio Anapolis
29 Aug
Sao Luis
2 : 1
Gremio Anapolis
26 Aug
Gremio Anapolis
1 : 2
Goianesia
Page 1 of 6

Morrinhos

(Away)
14 Sept
Morrinhos
2 : 1
Trindade
09 Sept
Tupy FC
2 : 1
Morrinhos
05 Sept
Morrinhos
1 : 1
Goianesia
30 Aug
Morrinhos
1 : 3
Tupy FC
26 Aug
Trindade
2 : 2
Morrinhos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Verde 12 8 2 2 20:7 26
2 Goianesia 12 6 5 1 17:14 23
3 Bom Jesus 12 6 4 2 14:8 22
4 Morrinhos 12 5 3 4 19:17 18
5 Tupy FC 12 4 5 3 12:10 17
6 Goiania 12 3 5 4 8:10 14
7 Mineiros 12 3 4 5 11:14 13
8 Sao Luis 12 2 5 5 14:19 11
9 Gremio Anapolis 12 2 4 6 13:18 10
10 Trindade 12 0 5 7 9:20 5
Promotion - Goiano 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Goiano 3 (Main)