Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gremio Anapolis vs Rio Verde

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2 2025 Estadio Jonas Duarte, Anápolis
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Dos Santos Guerra T. M.
26' Event
Patrick Felipe
62' Event
Lucas Victor

AI Match Summary

Rio Verde in this Goiano 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rio Verde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Gremio Anapolis
35%
Draws
48%
Rio Verde
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rio Verde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rio Verde lately — more wins on the board than Gremio Anapolis.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Rio Verde taking it.
  • Regular Goiano 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Gremio Anapolis Clean Sheet 16%
Rio Verde Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Anapolis Rio Verde
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 14
Draws 11 10
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.07 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Goiano 2
Rio Verde vs Gremio Anapolis
4:1
Jul 19, 2025 Goiano 2
Gremio Anapolis vs Rio Verde
1:2
May 31, 2025 Goiano 2
Rio Verde vs Gremio Anapolis
1:0
Feb 25, 2018 Goiano
Rio Verde vs Gremio Anapolis
1:2
Jan 27, 2018 Goiano
Gremio Anapolis vs Rio Verde
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio Anapolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Dos Santos Guerra T. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Rio Verde Compare

Top Goalscorer Patrick Felipe
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucas Victor
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Anapolis 23 / 100
Rio Verde 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Anapolis Rio Verde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Verde Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio Anapolis found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Gremio Anapolis went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Rio Verde conceded in 50% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Anapolis VS Rio Verde
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio Anapolis

(Home)
23 Sept
Gremio Anapolis
2 : 2
Bom Jesus
20 Sept
Mineiros
3 : 0
Gremio Anapolis
13 Sept
Goianesia
2 : 2
Gremio Anapolis
09 Sept
Gremio Anapolis
1 : 1
Sao Luis
05 Sept
Tupy FC
1 : 1
Gremio Anapolis
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Rio Verde

(Away)
20 Sept
Morrinhos
0 : 0
Rio Verde
13 Sept
Rio Verde
2 : 1
Goiania
09 Sept
Trindade
0 : 2
Rio Verde
05 Sept
Rio Verde
1 : 1
Mineiros
01 Sept
Rio Verde
1 : 0
Trindade
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Anapolina 14 7 7 0 20:7 28
2 Centro Oeste 14 7 4 3 18:10 25
3 Rio Verde 14 5 7 2 15:12 22
4 Trindade 14 6 3 5 22:17 21
5 Tupy FC 14 3 7 4 17:17 16
6 Gremio Anapolis 14 3 6 5 13:17 15
7 Morrinhos 14 2 6 6 10:16 12
8 Ipora 14 1 4 9 13:32 7
Promotion - Goiano (Main)
Relegation - Goiano 3 2025 (Main)