Sport Picks

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Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Bare

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Vitor J.
90' Event
Castro R.

AI Match Summary

The Roraimense 2025 game between Gremio Atletico Sampaio and Bare finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gremio Atletico Sampaio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
15%
Draws
59%
Bare
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gremio Atletico Sampaio come out ahead of Bare on wins alone.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Bare taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gremio Atletico Sampaio have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Gremio Atletico Sampaio Clean Sheet 20%
Bare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Atletico Sampaio Bare
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 19 13
Draws 6 3
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.95 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Roraimense
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Bare
2:0
Mar 17, 2026 Roraimense
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Bare
1:0
Feb 8, 2025 Roraimense
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Bare
2:0
Apr 5, 2023 Roraimense
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Bare
4:2
Dec 8, 2020 Roraimense
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Bare
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio Atletico Sampaio Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitor J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castro R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Bare Compare

Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.54

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Atletico Sampaio 12 / 100
Bare 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Atletico Sampaio Bare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bare Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio Atletico Sampaio's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

Bare's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Gremio Atletico Sampaio has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Atletico Sampaio VS Bare
1.88 Goals Scored 0.33
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 33%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio Atletico Sampaio

(Home)
14 Jun
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
3 : 1
Manaus FC
30 May
Sao Raimundo RR
4 : 0
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
23 May
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
16 May
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
2 : 3
Monte Roraima
10 May
Manauara
0 : 0
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
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Bare

(Away)
01 Apr
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
2 : 0
Bare
21 Mar
Sao Raimundo RR
0 : 1
Bare
17 Mar
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
1 : 0
Bare
14 Mar
Bare
4 : 0
Progresso
11 Mar
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
1 : 4
Bare
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 7 5 1 1 23:5 16
2 Bare 7 5 1 1 19:3 16
3 Monte Roraima 7 4 2 1 12:4 14
4 Sao Raimundo RR 7 4 1 2 15:7 13
5 Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 7 3 1 3 9:11 10
6 Nautico FC 7 1 1 5 9:22 4
7 Atl. Roraima 7 0 3 4 3:20 3
8 Progresso 7 0 2 5 1:19 2
Promotion - Roraimense 2025 (Play Offs)