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Stadium Background

Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs River Esporte Clube

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gremio Atletico Sampaio play River Esporte Clube in the Roraimense. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gremio Atletico Sampaio averaged 2.24 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. River Esporte Clube averaged 2.08 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Gremio Atletico Sampaio won 2, River Esporte Clube won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 25, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Gremio Atletico Sampaio and 3.31 for River Esporte Clube. This points to a Gremio Atletico Sampaio double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
21%
Draws
32%
River Esporte Clube
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Gremio Atletico Sampaio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Gremio Atletico Sampaio picked up more points recently compared to River Esporte Clube.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 3.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Gremio Atletico Sampaio Clean Sheet 10%
River Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Atletico Sampaio River Esporte Clube
Matches Played 46 24
Wins 24 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 2.24 2.08
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 5.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Roraimense
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs River Esporte Clube
2:2
Apr 6, 2024 Roraimense
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs River Esporte Clube
3:2
Apr 22, 2023 Roraimense
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs River Esporte Clube
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio Atletico Sampaio Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Cardoso
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vanilson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

River Esporte Clube Compare

Top Goalscorer Flavio Tico
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coca
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 4.55
Avg xA / game 2.78

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Atletico Sampaio 44 / 100
River Esporte Clube 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Atletico Sampaio River Esporte Clube

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gremio Atletico Sampaio or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gremio Atletico Sampaio attacking → ← attacking River Esporte Clube

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio Atletico Sampaio scored in 78% of their last 46 games.

River Esporte Clube let in goals in 79% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Gremio Atletico Sampaio went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

River Esporte Clube lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

78 Points in last 5 35
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 5.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sao Raimundo RR862028:520
2Monte Roraima853018:818
3Gremio Atletico Sampaio852121:817
4Bare850317:715
5River Esporte Clube843122:815
6Progresso82068:256
7Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)82067:176
8Nautico FC81163:174
9Atl. Roraima80175:341