Sport Picks

Brazil

Serie A Betano Arena do Grêmio

Fluminense

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gremio host Fluminense in the Serie A Betano. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Fluminense have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Gremio have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.75. Head-to-head, Gremio have won 0 to Fluminense's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 28, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.75, favoring Fluminense. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Gremio

17%

Draws

70%

Fluminense

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Fluminense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Fluminense carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Fluminense's way, sitting at 70%.
Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Fluminense have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

Gremio Clean Sheet 12%

Fluminense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gremio	Fluminense
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	13	14
Draws	9	8
Losses	9	8
Goals Scored	1.75	2.25
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Serie A Betano

Fluminense vs Gremio

Possession: 44% - 56% Cards: 4 - 2

2:1

Dec 3, 2025 Serie A Betano

Gremio vs Fluminense

Possession: 58% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

1:2

Aug 3, 2025 Serie A Betano

Fluminense vs Gremio

Possession: 58% - 41% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Nov 2, 2024 Serie A Betano

Fluminense vs Gremio

Possession: 57% - 49% Cards: 2 - 3

2:2

Aug 20, 2024 Copa Libertadores

Fluminense vs Gremio

Possession: 45% - 52% Cards: 2 - 2

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio 14 / 100

Fluminense 65 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gremio Fluminense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLU Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Gremio found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Gremio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gremio VS Fluminense

1.75 Goals Scored 2.25

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras	18	12	5	1	30:13	41
2	Flamengo RJ	17	10	4	3	31:16	34
3	Fluminense	18	9	4	5	28:23	31
4	Athletico-PR	18	9	3	6	24:18	30
5	Bragantino	18	9	2	7	25:19	29
6	Bahia	17	7	5	5	25:23	26
7	Coritiba	18	7	5	6	24:24	26
8	Sao Paulo	18	7	4	7	23:20	25
9	Atletico-MG	18	7	3	8	22:23	24
10	Corinthians	18	6	6	6	18:19	24
11	Cruzeiro	18	6	6	6	24:28	24
12	Botafogo RJ	17	6	4	7	31:31	22
13	Vitoria	17	6	4	7	21:25	22
14	Internacional	18	5	6	7	21:22	21
15	Santos	18	5	6	7	26:29	21
16	Gremio	18	5	6	7	20:23	21
17	Vasco	18	5	5	8	22:29	20
18	Remo	18	4	6	8	21:29	18
19	Mirassol	17	4	4	9	18:24	16
20	Chapecoense-SC	17	1	6	10	17:33	9