Sport Picks

Brazil

Catarinense 2

Gremio Juventus

0 - 1

Hercilio Luz

Our Tip

Match Events

77'

Luan Santos

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hercilio Luz in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hercilio Luz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Gremio Juventus

39%

Draws

31%

Hercilio Luz

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Hercilio Luz have won more games recently than Gremio Juventus.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%

Gremio Juventus Clean Sheet 68%

Hercilio Luz Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gremio Juventus	Hercilio Luz
Matches Played	21	27
Wins	5	12
Draws	5	6
Losses	11	9
Goals Scored	1.38	2.25
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Catarinense 2

Hercilio Luz vs Gremio Juventus

Possession: 43% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

May 24, 2026 Catarinense 2

Gremio Juventus vs Hercilio Luz

Possession: 44% - 52% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Jan 23, 2022 Catarinense

Hercilio Luz vs Gremio Juventus

Possession: 57% - 43% Cards: 2 - 4

1:0

Nov 7, 2021 Copa Santa Catarina

Hercilio Luz vs Gremio Juventus

Possession: 52% - 52% Cards: 1 - 4

1:2

Nov 4, 2021 Copa Santa Catarina

Gremio Juventus vs Hercilio Luz

Possession: 47% - 49% Cards: 4 - 1

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio Juventus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Hercilio Luz Compare

Top Goalscorer Luan Santos

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Juventus 41 / 100

Hercilio Luz 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gremio Juventus Hercilio Luz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hercilio Luz let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Gremio Juventus went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Gremio Juventus's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Juventus VS Hercilio Luz

1.38 Goals Scored 2.25

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75

63% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hercilio Luz	15	11	2	2	31:9	35
2	Caravaggio	15	9	3	3	42:17	30
3	CA Metropolitano	15	9	2	4	25:17	29
4	Blumenau	15	8	3	4	31:12	27
5	Tubarao	15	6	5	4	22:15	23
6	Fluminense-SC	15	5	3	7	14:18	18
7	Nacao	15	4	5	6	14:22	17
8	Guarani de Palhoca	15	4	4	7	14:23	16
9	Gremio Juventus	15	4	2	9	13:21	14
10	Jaragua-SC	15	0	1	14	5:57	1