Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gremio Prudente vs Ferroviaria

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2 Estadio Paulo Constantino, Presidente Prudente
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Gustavo Medina
85' Event
Edson Lucas

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A2 game between Gremio Prudente and Ferroviaria finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Gremio Prudente
35%
Draws
32%
Ferroviaria
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Gremio Prudente haven't matched Ferroviaria's recent run of results.
  • Gremio Prudente are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Gremio Prudente Clean Sheet 68%
Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Prudente Ferroviaria
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 8 19
Draws 13 10
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Paulista A2
Gremio Prudente vs Ferroviaria
0:2
Mar 8, 2025 Paulista A2
Ferroviaria vs Gremio Prudente
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio Prudente Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ferroviaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Medina
1 Goals
Assists Leader Edson Lucas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Prudente 59 / 100
Ferroviaria 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Prudente Ferroviaria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio Prudente Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Gremio Prudente remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Gremio Prudente found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Ferroviaria has conceded goals in 47% of their last 36 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Prudente VS Ferroviaria
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio Prudente

(Home)
26 Sept
Gremio Prudente
0 : 0
Uniao Sao Joao
20 Sept
Linense
1 : 2
Gremio Prudente
15 Sept
Gremio Prudente
2 : 2
Linense
07 Sept
Paulista
2 : 3
Gremio Prudente
31 Aug
Gremio Prudente
4 : 0
Paulista
Page 1 of 6

Ferroviaria

(Away)
27 Sept
Brusque
1 : 1
Ferroviaria
20 Sept
Ferroviaria
3 : 2
Brusque
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Paysandu PA
05 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
3 : 3
Ferroviaria
29 Aug
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Confianca
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agua Santa 15 10 1 4 24:14 31
2 Ferroviaria 15 8 4 3 22:12 28
3 Ituano 15 8 4 3 22:14 28
4 Sao Jose EC 15 8 3 4 21:13 27
5 Sertaozinho 15 7 4 4 19:19 25
6 Votuporanguense 15 7 3 5 16:17 24
7 Juventus-SP 15 6 5 4 22:20 23
8 Piracicaba 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
9 Osasco Sporting 15 5 7 3 22:18 22
10 Santo Andre 15 5 3 7 16:22 18
11 Taubate 15 3 8 4 22:23 17
12 Internacional de Limeira 15 4 4 7 15:18 16
13 Linense 15 2 7 6 12:18 13
14 Monte Azul 15 2 6 7 17:22 12
15 Gremio Prudente 15 1 9 5 12:16 12
16 Sao Bento 15 1 2 12 8:25 5
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Second stage)
Relegation - Paulista A3 (Main)