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Gremio Prudente vs Ferroviaria

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2 Estadio Paulo Constantino
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gremio Prudente play Ferroviaria in the Paulista A2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gremio Prudente averaged 1.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Ferroviaria averaged 1.14 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. In past meetings, Gremio Prudente won 0, Ferroviaria won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 28, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Gremio Prudente and 0.99 for Ferroviaria. This points to a Ferroviaria double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Gremio Prudente
35%
Draws
38%
Ferroviaria
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ferroviaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Gremio Prudente picked up more points recently compared to Ferroviaria.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Gremio Prudente Clean Sheet 23%
Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Prudente Ferroviaria
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 15 8
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Paulista A2
Gremio Prudente vs Ferroviaria
0:2
Mar 8, 2025 Paulista A2
Ferroviaria vs Gremio Prudente
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio Prudente Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Ferroviaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Medina
1 Goals
Assists Leader Edson Lucas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Prudente 29 / 100
Ferroviaria 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Prudente Ferroviaria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ferroviaria or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +23.2%
3.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gremio Prudente attacking → ← attacking Ferroviaria

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio Prudente scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Ferroviaria let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Gremio Prudente went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ferroviaria lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 47
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Agua Santa15101424:1431
2Ferroviaria1584322:1228
3Ituano1584322:1428
4Sao Jose EC1583421:1327
5Sertaozinho1574419:1925
6Votuporanguense1573516:1724
7Juventus-SP1565422:2023
8Piracicaba1564516:1522
9Osasco Sporting1557322:1822
10Santo Andre1553716:2218
11Taubate1538422:2317
12Internacional de Limeira1544715:1816
13Linense1527612:1813
14Monte Azul1526717:2212
15Gremio Prudente1519512:1612
16Sao Bento1512128:255