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Gremio Prudente vs Monte Azul

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A2 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Gremio Prudente
30%
Draws
6%
Monte Azul
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gremio Prudente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Not much separates Gremio Prudente and Monte Azul on recent form.
  • Model gives Gremio Prudente a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Gremio Prudente Clean Sheet 68%
Monte Azul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Prudente Monte Azul
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 13 10
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Paulista A2
Gremio Prudente vs Monte Azul
0:0
Jul 16, 2025 Copa Paulista
Monte Azul vs Gremio Prudente
1:1
Jun 14, 2025 Copa Paulista
Gremio Prudente vs Monte Azul
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Prudente 95 / 100
Monte Azul 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Prudente Monte Azul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio Prudente Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Gremio Prudente remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Gremio Prudente's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Monte Azul conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Prudente VS Monte Azul
0.88 Goals Scored 0.8
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 60%
25% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio Prudente

(Home)
26 Sept
Gremio Prudente
0 : 0
Uniao Sao Joao
20 Sept
Linense
1 : 2
Gremio Prudente
15 Sept
Gremio Prudente
2 : 2
Linense
07 Sept
Paulista
2 : 3
Gremio Prudente
31 Aug
Gremio Prudente
4 : 0
Paulista
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Monte Azul

(Away)
07 Mar
Ituano
3 : 3
Monte Azul
04 Mar
Monte Azul
0 : 2
Sertaozinho
01 Mar
Monte Azul
0 : 1
Agua Santa
25 Feb
Monte Azul
1 : 3
Juventus-SP
22 Feb
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Monte Azul
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agua Santa 15 10 1 4 24:14 31
2 Ferroviaria 15 8 4 3 22:12 28
3 Ituano 15 8 4 3 22:14 28
4 Sao Jose EC 15 8 3 4 21:13 27
5 Sertaozinho 15 7 4 4 19:19 25
6 Votuporanguense 15 7 3 5 16:17 24
7 Juventus-SP 15 6 5 4 22:20 23
8 Piracicaba 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
9 Osasco Sporting 15 5 7 3 22:18 22
10 Santo Andre 15 5 3 7 16:22 18
11 Taubate 15 3 8 4 22:23 17
12 Internacional de Limeira 15 4 4 7 15:18 16
13 Linense 15 2 7 6 12:18 13
14 Monte Azul 15 2 6 7 17:22 12
15 Gremio Prudente 15 1 9 5 12:16 12
16 Sao Bento 15 1 2 12 8:25 5
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Second stage)
Relegation - Paulista A3 (Main)