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Gremio Sorriso vs Acao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Matogrossense 2022
Gremio Sorriso Logo

Gremio Sorriso

3 - 2
FT
Acao Logo

Acao

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gremio Sorriso in this Campeonato Matogrossense 2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gremio Sorriso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Gremio Sorriso
30%
Draws
47%
Acao
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Acao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Acao lately — more wins on the board than Gremio Sorriso.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Acao taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Gremio Sorriso Clean Sheet 16%
Acao Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Sorriso Acao
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 7 10
Draws 10 5
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2022 Matogrossense
Gremio Sorriso vs Acao
3:2
Apr 10, 2021 Matogrossense
Gremio Sorriso vs Acao
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Sorriso 23 / 100
Acao 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Sorriso Acao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Acao Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Acao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Gremio Sorriso found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (31 games).

Gremio Sorriso went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Sorriso VS Acao
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio Sorriso

(Home)
10 May
Gremio Sorriso
4 : 0
Campo Novo
30 Apr
Sinop FC
3 : 0
Gremio Sorriso
26 Apr
Santa Cruz MT
0 : 0
Gremio Sorriso
19 Apr
Gremio Sorriso
0 : 1
Sorriso EC
08 Jun
Gremio Sorriso
1 : 3
Pocone
Page 1 of 7

Acao

(Away)
20 May
Acao
1 : 2
Santa Cruz MT
17 May
Acao
2 : 1
Cacerense
09 May
Paulistano FC
1 : 2
Acao
02 May
Uirapuru
2 : 2
Acao
20 Apr
Acao
2 : 2
Atletico MT
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 9 7 1 1 23:6 22
2 Luverdense 9 6 2 1 13:3 20
3 Sport Sinop 9 5 3 1 12:8 18
4 Academia 9 4 1 4 5:11 13
5 Dom Bosco 9 3 4 2 9:11 13
6 Uniao Rondonopolis 9 4 0 5 10:11 12
7 Nova Mutum EC 9 3 3 3 10:9 12
8 Operario VG 9 3 1 5 11:12 10
9 Gremio Sorriso 9 1 1 7 5:18 4
10 Acao 9 0 2 7 9:18 2
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2022 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2022 (Play Offs)