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Gremio Sorriso vs Pocone - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Pocone advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Gremio Sorriso
35%
Draws
39%
Pocone
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pocone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Pocone's 1.21 goals per match outpaces what Gremio Sorriso have produced (1).
  • Pocone are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Pocone, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gremio Sorriso Clean Sheet 17%
Pocone Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Sorriso Pocone
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 10 7
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Gremio Sorriso vs Pocone
1:3
Jun 2, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Pocone vs Gremio Sorriso
0:0
Mar 8, 2021 Matogrossense
Pocone vs Gremio Sorriso
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Sorriso 23 / 100
Pocone 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Sorriso Pocone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pocone Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pocone let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Gremio Sorriso found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: Gremio Sorriso stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Sorriso VS Pocone
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio Sorriso

(Home)
10 May
Gremio Sorriso
4 : 0
Campo Novo
30 Apr
Sinop FC
3 : 0
Gremio Sorriso
26 Apr
Santa Cruz MT
0 : 0
Gremio Sorriso
19 Apr
Gremio Sorriso
0 : 1
Sorriso EC
08 Jun
Gremio Sorriso
1 : 3
Pocone
Page 1 of 7

Pocone

(Away)
23 Jun
Pocone
1 : 2
Sport Sinop
16 Jun
Sport Sinop
2 : 2
Pocone
08 Jun
Gremio Sorriso
1 : 3
Pocone
02 Jun
Pocone
0 : 0
Gremio Sorriso
26 May
Pocone
1 : 1
Rondonopolis EC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Rondonopolis EC 0
Caceres 1
Sinop FC 6
Várzea Grande EC 2
Acao 1
Sport Sinop 2
Pocone 3
Gremio Sorriso 1
Semi-finals
Caceres 3
Sinop FC 0
Sport Sinop 4
Pocone 3
Final
Caceres 3
Sport Sinop 2