Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gremio U20 vs America RN U20

Brazil Brazil

Copinha Arena Dr. Plinio Marin, Votuporanga
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Joao Pedro B. G.
57' Event
Crisostomo Pinheiro P. G.
66' Event
Assis Sales C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gremio U20
15%
Draws
45%
America RN U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: America RN U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • America RN U20 have won more games recently than Gremio U20.
  • Model gives Gremio U20 a 40% chance of winning this.
  • America RN U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gremio U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Gremio U20 Clean Sheet 12%
America RN U20 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio U20 America RN U20
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 19
Draws 5 2
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.83 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2026 Copinha
Gremio U20 vs America RN U20
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Pedro B. G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Crisostomo Pinheiro P. G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

America RN U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Assis Sales C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio U20 65 / 100
America RN U20 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio U20 America RN U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Gremio U20 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: America RN U20 conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Gremio U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gremio U20 VS America RN U20
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio U20

(Home)
08 Sept
Gremio U20
5 : 0
Real SC U20
01 Jul
Criciuma U20
3 : 2
Gremio U20
27 Jun
Internacional U20
4 : 2
Gremio U20
23 Jun
Gremio U20
4 : 0
Bahia U20
20 Jun
Gremio U20
2 : 1
Fortaleza U20
Page 1 of 6

America RN U20

(Away)
28 Sept
QFC U20
2 : 1
America RN U20
20 Sept
America RN U20
2 : 1
Estrela Potiguar U20
16 Sept
ASSU U20
1 : 1
America RN U20
09 Sept
America RN U20
3 : 2
QFC U20
05 Sept
Palmeira U20
0 : 1
America RN U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Chapecoense-SC U20 2
Votuporanguense U20 1
Gremio U20 3
Alagoinhas U20 1
Goias U20 0
Mirassol U20 1
Sport Recife U20 1
America RN U20 2
Athletico-PR U20 1
Ceara U20 2
Gremio Prudente U20 2
Osasco Sporting U20 0
Athletic Club U20 2
XV de Jau U20 3
Corinthians U20 1
Guarani U20 2
Bahia U20 2
Atletico-PI U20 3
America MG U20 2
Internacional de Limeira U20 1
Botafogo SP U20 1
Vasco U20 0
Guanabara City U20 1
Tuna Luso U20 0
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3
Meia Noite U20 1
Ponte Preta U20 2
Francana U20 1
Ferroviaria U20 2
Real Brasilia U20 0
Santos U20 1
Cuiaba U20 0
Bragantino U20 3
Comercial FC - Tiete U20 0
Canaa U20 1
Figueirense U20 0
Sao Paulo U20 2
Portuguesa U20 0
Operario PR U20 4
Independente AP U20 0
EC Juventude U20 2
Aguia De Maraba U20 1
Botafogo RJ U20 3
Sao Jose EC U20 0
Fortaleza U20 2
Novorizontino U20 1
Itaquaquecetuba U20 2
Uniao Mogi U20 1
Fluminense U20 2
Referencia U20 1
Ituano U20 3
Agua Santa U20 1
Palmeiras U20 4
Vitoria U20 3
Flamengo SP U20 1
Monte Roraima U20 0
Osasco Audax U20 0
Santo Andre U20 1
Ibrachina U20 3
Atletico-MG U20 1
Retro U20 0
Internacional U20 4
Nacional SP U20 2
CA Juventus U20 0
1/16-finals
Chapecoense-SC U20 0
Gremio U20 1
Mirassol U20 0
America RN U20 2
Ceara U20 3
Gremio Prudente U20 1
XV de Jau U20 1
Guarani U20 0
Atletico-PI U20 1
America MG U20 0
Botafogo SP U20 0
Guanabara City U20 1
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3
Ponte Preta U20 0
Ferroviaria U20 1
Santos U20 4
Bragantino U20 5
Canaa U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 5
Operario PR U20 1
EC Juventude U20 1
Botafogo RJ U20 4
Fortaleza U20 1
Itaquaquecetuba U20 2
Fluminense U20 0
Ituano U20 2
Palmeiras U20 2
Flamengo SP U20 1
Santo Andre U20 1
Ibrachina U20 2
Internacional U20 3
Nacional SP U20 2
1/8-finals
Gremio U20 4
America RN U20 1
Ceara U20 2
XV de Jau U20 0
Atletico-PI U20 0
Guanabara City U20 1
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3
Santos U20 1
Bragantino U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 2
Botafogo RJ U20 1
Itaquaquecetuba U20 0
Ituano U20 1
Palmeiras U20 3
Ibrachina U20 2
Internacional U20 1
Quarter-finals
Gremio U20 3
Ceara U20 0
Guanabara City U20 0
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3
Sao Paulo U20 3
Botafogo RJ U20 1
Palmeiras U20 2
Ibrachina U20 3
Semi-finals
Gremio U20 2
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3
Sao Paulo U20 4
Ibrachina U20 1
Final
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 2
Sao Paulo U20 1