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Gremio U20 vs Sao Luiz U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho U20 2024
Gremio U20 Logo

Gremio U20

3 - 0
FT
Sao Luiz U20 Logo

Sao Luiz U20

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Riquelme
15' Event
Samuel
71' Event
Joao Araujo
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Gremio U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Gremio U20
15%
Draws
42%
Sao Luiz U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gremio U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Sao Luiz U20 haven't matched Gremio U20's recent run of results.
  • Gremio U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Gremio U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gremio U20, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gremio U20 have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Gremio U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Sao Luiz U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio U20 Sao Luiz U20
Matches Played 36 26
Wins 17 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.86 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Gaucho U20
Gremio U20 vs Sao Luiz U20
3:0
Jun 14, 2025 Gaucho U20
Gremio U20 vs Sao Luiz U20
4:1
Jun 8, 2025 Gaucho U20
Sao Luiz U20 vs Gremio U20
1:2
Oct 18, 2024 Gaucho U20
Gremio U20 vs Sao Luiz U20
3:0
Oct 13, 2024 Gaucho U20
Sao Luiz U20 vs Gremio U20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Riquelme
1 Goals
Assists Leader Samuel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sao Luiz U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio U20 95 / 100
Sao Luiz U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio U20 Sao Luiz U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Gremio U20 found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (36 games).

Sao Luiz U20 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 26 outings.

Sao Luiz U20's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gremio U20 VS Sao Luiz U20
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio U20

(Home)
08 Oct
Gremio U20
1 : 3
Operario PR U20
08 Sept
Gremio U20
5 : 0
Real SC U20
01 Jul
Criciuma U20
3 : 2
Gremio U20
27 Jun
Internacional U20
4 : 2
Gremio U20
23 Jun
Gremio U20
4 : 0
Bahia U20
Page 1 of 8

Sao Luiz U20

(Away)
07 Jun
Internacional U20
4 : 0
Sao Luiz U20
31 May
Sao Luiz U20
0 : 1
Internacional U20
24 May
Sao Luiz U20
2 : 1
Real SC U20
09 May
SC Ivoti U20
1 : 0
Sao Luiz U20
19 Apr
Inter Santa Maria U20
0 : 2
Sao Luiz U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Gremio U20 5
Sao Luiz U20 1
EC Juventude U20 2
Futvida U20 1
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 3
Apafut U20 0
Gramadense U20 1
Internacional U20 3
Semi-finals
Gremio U20 4
EC Juventude U20 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 4
Internacional U20 2
Final
Gremio U20 1
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 2