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Gremio vs EC Juventude - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Tete
Assist: Willian
42'
Mandaca
46'
Sub
Willian In: Jefinho
Out: Willian

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Gremio
20%
Draws
65%
EC Juventude
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: EC Juventude

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • EC Juventude carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives EC Juventude a 65% chance of winning this.
  • EC Juventude arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gremio, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Gremio Clean Sheet 19%
EC Juventude Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio EC Juventude
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 16
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.45 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Gaucho
EC Juventude vs Gremio
1:2
Feb 15, 2026 Gaucho
Gremio vs EC Juventude
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 Gaucho
Gremio vs EC Juventude
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie A Betano
Gremio vs EC Juventude
3:1
Jun 1, 2025 Serie A Betano
EC Juventude vs Gremio
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio Compare

Top Goalscorer Tete
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

EC Juventude Compare

Top Goalscorer Patryck
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio 24 / 100
EC Juventude 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio EC Juventude

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Juventude Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

EC Juventude's defensive record shows goals conceded in 42% of 31 matches.

Gremio went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gremio VS EC Juventude
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio

(Home)
07 Oct
Remo
1 : 1
Gremio
20 Sept
Gremio
0 : 0
Palmeiras
16 Sept
Botafogo RJ
3 : 2
Gremio
12 Sept
Gremio
1 : 2
Vasco
07 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 0
Gremio
Page 1 of 7

EC Juventude

(Away)
07 Oct
Ponte Preta
0 : 2
EC Juventude
02 Oct
EC Juventude
3 : 0
Operario-PR
28 Sept
America MG
0 : 1
EC Juventude
19 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 1
EC Juventude
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2
Athletic Club
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Internacional 3
Sao Luiz 1
SER Caxias do Sul 0
Ypiranga FC 2
EC Juventude 3
EC Sao Jose (PA) 2
Gremio 1
Novo Hamburgo 0
Semi-finals
Internacional 7
Ypiranga FC 0
EC Juventude 2
Gremio 3
Final
Internacional 1
Gremio 4