Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Botafogo DF U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense U20 2023 game between Gremio Valparaiso U20 and Botafogo DF U20 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gremio Valparaiso U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Gremio Valparaiso U20
15%
Draws
34%
Botafogo DF U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gremio Valparaiso U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Gremio Valparaiso U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Botafogo DF U20 a 34% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Gremio Valparaiso U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Botafogo DF U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Valparaiso U20 Botafogo DF U20
Matches Played 34 16
Wins 16 6
Draws 5 1
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.85 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.94 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2023 Brasiliense U20
Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Botafogo DF U20
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Valparaiso U20 20 / 100
Botafogo DF U20 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Valparaiso U20 Botafogo DF U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botafogo DF U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Botafogo DF U20 conceded in 81% of 16 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Gremio Valparaiso U20 found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (34 games).

Botafogo DF U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Valparaiso U20 VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio Valparaiso U20

(Home)
26 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
4 : 2
Ceilandia U20
19 Jul
Planaltina U20
6 : 0
Gremio Valparaiso U20
11 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
3 : 2
Cruzeiro DF U20
04 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
0 : 4
Santa Maria U20
27 Jun
Canaa U20
4 : 0
Gremio Valparaiso U20
Page 1 of 7

Botafogo DF U20

(Away)
15 Jun
Botafogo DF U20
2 : 4
Real Brasilia U20
08 Jun
Paranoa U20
1 : 0
Botafogo DF U20
05 Jun
Botafogo DF U20
1 : 1
Candango U20
01 Jun
Capital DF U20
5 : 1
Botafogo DF U20
22 May
Samambaense U20
0 : 1
Botafogo DF U20
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense U20 8 6 2 0 25:4 20
2 Canaa U20 8 6 2 0 20:6 20
3 Luziania U20 8 6 1 1 18:8 19
4 ARUC U20 8 4 0 4 14:11 12
5 Gremio Valparaiso U20 8 4 0 4 12:13 12
6 Botafogo DF U20 8 3 0 5 15:22 9
7 Samambaia U20 8 1 2 5 6:13 5
8 Brasilia U20 8 1 2 5 5:20 5
9 Ceilandense U20 8 0 1 7 6:24 1
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Capital DF U20 8 5 2 1 12:7 17
2 Gama U20 8 4 2 2 14:4 14
3 Santa Maria U20 8 4 2 2 15:9 14
4 Brazlandia U20 8 4 2 2 10:7 14
5 Paranoa U20 8 3 3 2 12:6 12
6 Real Brasilia U20 8 2 5 1 15:6 11
7 Planaltina U20 8 2 4 2 16:12 10
8 Legiao U20 8 2 0 6 8:18 6
9 Samambaense U20 8 0 0 8 4:37 0
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 2023 (Play Offs)