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Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Cruzeiro DF U20

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Brasiliense U20 2022
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AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense U20 2022 game between Gremio Valparaiso U20 and Cruzeiro DF U20 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Gremio Valparaiso U20
22%
Draws
60%
Cruzeiro DF U20
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Cruzeiro DF U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gremio Valparaiso U20 come out ahead of Cruzeiro DF U20 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cruzeiro DF U20 a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gremio Valparaiso U20 Clean Sheet 17%
Cruzeiro DF U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Valparaiso U20 Cruzeiro DF U20
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 4
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Brasiliense U20
Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Cruzeiro DF U20
3:2
May 21, 2022 Brasiliense U20
Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Cruzeiro DF U20
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Valparaiso U20 20 / 100
Cruzeiro DF U20 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Valparaiso U20 Cruzeiro DF U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cruzeiro DF U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Gremio Valparaiso U20 found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Cruzeiro DF U20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Valparaiso U20 VS Cruzeiro DF U20
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%