Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Samambaense U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gremio Valparaiso U20 in this Brasiliense U20 2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gremio Valparaiso U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Gremio Valparaiso U20
15%
Draws
0%
Samambaense U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gremio Valparaiso U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Gremio Valparaiso U20 have won more games recently than Samambaense U20.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Gremio Valparaiso U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Gremio Valparaiso U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Samambaense U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Valparaiso U20 Samambaense U20
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 15 5
Draws 5 1
Losses 12 27
Goals Scored 1.88 0.48
Goals Conceded 1.97 4.67
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2022 Brasiliense U20
Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Samambaense U20
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Valparaiso U20 84 / 100
Samambaense U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Valparaiso U20 Samambaense U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio Valparaiso U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samambaense U20 has conceded goals in 94% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Samambaense U20 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Gremio Valparaiso U20's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Valparaiso U20 VS Samambaense U20
2 Goals Scored 0.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 4.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio Valparaiso U20

(Home)
26 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
4 : 2
Ceilandia U20
19 Jul
Planaltina U20
6 : 0
Gremio Valparaiso U20
11 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
3 : 2
Cruzeiro DF U20
04 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
0 : 4
Santa Maria U20
27 Jun
Canaa U20
4 : 0
Gremio Valparaiso U20
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Samambaense U20

(Away)
18 Jul
Samambaia U20
8 : 0
Samambaense U20
11 Jul
Samambaense U20
0 : 4
Gama U20
05 Jul
Brazlandia U20
3 : 0
Samambaense U20
27 Jun
Samambaense U20
2 : 4
Legiao U20
23 Jun
Capital DF U20
6 : 0
Samambaense U20
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