Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Santa Maria U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gremio Valparaiso U20 in this Brasiliense U20 2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gremio Valparaiso U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Gremio Valparaiso U20
15%
Draws
46%
Santa Maria U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Maria U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gremio Valparaiso U20 lately — more wins on the board than Santa Maria U20.
  • Model gives Santa Maria U20 a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Brasiliense U20 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Gremio Valparaiso U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Santa Maria U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Valparaiso U20 Santa Maria U20
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 15 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.82 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Brasiliense U20
Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Santa Maria U20
0:4
Jun 29, 2025 Brasiliense U20
Santa Maria U20 vs Gremio Valparaiso U20
1:1
Apr 30, 2022 Brasiliense U20
Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Santa Maria U20
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Valparaiso U20 10 / 100
Santa Maria U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Valparaiso U20 Santa Maria U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Maria U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Gremio Valparaiso U20 scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Santa Maria U20 has conceded goals in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Gremio Valparaiso U20 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Valparaiso U20 VS Santa Maria U20
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
2.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio Valparaiso U20

(Home)
26 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
4 : 2
Ceilandia U20
19 Jul
Planaltina U20
6 : 0
Gremio Valparaiso U20
11 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
3 : 2
Cruzeiro DF U20
04 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
0 : 4
Santa Maria U20
27 Jun
Canaa U20
4 : 0
Gremio Valparaiso U20
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Santa Maria U20

(Away)
09 Aug
Brasiliense U20
5 : 0
Santa Maria U20
02 Aug
Santa Maria U20
1 : 7
Brasiliense U20
26 Jul
Santa Maria U20
6 : 0
Luziania U20
18 Jul
Cruzeiro DF U20
2 : 2
Santa Maria U20
12 Jul
Santa Maria U20
3 : 1
Ceilandense U20
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