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Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Santa Maria U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gremio Valparaiso U20 in this Brasiliense U20 2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gremio Valparaiso U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Gremio Valparaiso U20
6%
Draws
90%
Santa Maria U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Santa Maria U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santa Maria U20 lately — more wins on the board than Gremio Valparaiso U20.
  • Model gives Santa Maria U20 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Brasiliense U20 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Gremio Valparaiso U20 Clean Sheet 12%
Santa Maria U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Valparaiso U20 Santa Maria U20
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 14 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Brasiliense U20
Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Santa Maria U20
0:4
Jun 29, 2025 Brasiliense U20
Santa Maria U20 vs Gremio Valparaiso U20
1:1
Apr 30, 2022 Brasiliense U20
Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Santa Maria U20
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Valparaiso U20 10 / 100
Santa Maria U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Valparaiso U20 Santa Maria U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Gremio Valparaiso U20 scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Santa Maria U20 has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Gremio Valparaiso U20 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Valparaiso U20 VS Santa Maria U20
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 25%