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Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Unai DF U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20 2024
Sat, Jun 1, 2024
3 - 0
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gremio Valparaiso U20 host Unai DF U20 in the Brasiliense U20 2024. Gremio Valparaiso U20 are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Gremio Valparaiso U20 at 1.9 goals for, 1.97 against; Unai DF U20 at 0.13 for, 3.67 against. Head-to-head, Gremio Valparaiso U20 have won 1 to Unai DF U20's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 1, 2024, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.73 - 1.19) back Gremio Valparaiso U20 to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Gremio Valparaiso U20
15%
Draws
0%
Unai DF U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gremio Valparaiso U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Gremio Valparaiso U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Gremio Valparaiso U20 taking it.
  • Regular Brasiliense U20 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Gremio Valparaiso U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Unai DF U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Valparaiso U20 Unai DF U20
Matches Played 30 15
Wins 15 0
Draws 4 0
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.9 0.13
Goals Conceded 1.97 3.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2024 Brasiliense U20
Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Unai DF U20
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Valparaiso U20 58 / 100
Unai DF U20 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Valparaiso U20 Unai DF U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio Valparaiso U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Unai DF U20 conceded in 100% of 15 recent games.

Unai DF U20's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Gremio Valparaiso U20's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Valparaiso U20 VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio Valparaiso U20

(Home)
26 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
4 : 2
Ceilandia U20
19 Jul
Planaltina U20
6 : 0
Gremio Valparaiso U20
11 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
3 : 2
Cruzeiro DF U20
04 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
0 : 4
Santa Maria U20
27 Jun
Canaa U20
4 : 0
Gremio Valparaiso U20
Page 1 of 6

Unai DF U20

(Away)
15 Jun
Legiao U20
3 : 0
Unai DF U20
08 Jun
Unai DF U20
0 : 3
Canaa U20
01 Jun
Gremio Valparaiso U20
3 : 0
Unai DF U20
25 May
Samambaia U20
3 : 0
Unai DF U20
18 May
Unai DF U20
0 : 3
Luziania U20
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Capital DF U20 8 8 0 0 35:4 24
2 Gama U20 8 7 0 1 27:6 21
3 Real Brasilia U20 8 6 0 2 22:8 18
4 Paranoa U20 8 5 0 3 14:5 15
5 Botafogo DF U20 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
6 Candango U20 8 2 2 4 9:20 8
7 Samambaense U20 8 2 1 5 7:21 7
8 Ceilandia U20 8 1 0 7 13:25 3
9 Ceilandense U20 8 0 0 8 8:43 0
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense U20 7 5 1 1 22:6 16
2 Luziania U20 7 5 0 2 17:11 15
3 Canaa U20 7 4 2 1 19:11 14
4 Samambaia U20 7 4 1 2 22:11 13
5 Gremio Valparaiso U20 7 3 2 2 14:18 11
6 Legiao U20 7 1 2 4 10:18 5
7 Planaltina U20 7 1 2 4 8:16 5
8 Unai DF U20 7 0 0 7 0:21 0
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 2024 (Play Offs)