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Gremio Valparaiso vs Legiao

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Victor Xavier
34' Event
Pereira P. A. B.
Own Goal
35' Event
Marinheiro R. C.

AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense 2 2024 game between Gremio Valparaiso and Legiao finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Legiao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Gremio Valparaiso
35%
Draws
32%
Legiao
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Legiao come out ahead of Gremio Valparaiso on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Gremio Valparaiso Clean Sheet 14%
Legiao Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Valparaiso Legiao
Matches Played 18 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 2 9
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.33 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.44 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2024 Brasiliense 2
Gremio Valparaiso vs Legiao
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio Valparaiso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Legiao Compare

Top Goalscorer Wisman
2 Goals
Assists Leader Victor Xavier
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Valparaiso 31 / 100
Legiao 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Valparaiso Legiao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Legiao let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Gremio Valparaiso has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Gremio Valparaiso found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (18 games).

Scoring Trends

Gremio Valparaiso VS Legiao
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio Valparaiso

(Home)
20 Sept
Luziania
0 : 6
Gremio Valparaiso
12 Sept
Gremio Valparaiso
0 : 2
Taguatinga
06 Sept
Gremio Valparaiso
1 : 1
Candango
30 Aug
Planaltina
1 : 1
Gremio Valparaiso
11 Oct
Gremio Valparaiso
0 : 5
ARUC
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Legiao

(Away)
19 Sept
Candango
0 : 2
Legiao
12 Sept
Legiao
0 : 0
Luziania
29 Aug
Canaa EC
1 : 1
Legiao
08 Mar
Real Brasilia
2 : 1
Legiao
23 Feb
Sobradinho
2 : 0
Legiao
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Taguatinga 7 5 2 0 22:2 17
2 Sobradinho 7 4 3 0 29:5 15
3 SESP Brasilia 7 4 2 1 10:2 14
4 Legiao 7 4 1 2 16:3 13
5 Luziania 7 3 0 4 17:8 9
6 Gremio Valparaiso 7 3 0 4 8:21 9
7 Riacho City 7 1 0 6 6:40 3
8 Botafogo DF 7 0 0 7 3:30 0
Promotion - Brasiliense 2 2024 (Play Offs)