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Gremio Valparaiso vs Luziania

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2
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AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense 2 game between Gremio Valparaiso and Luziania finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Luziania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Gremio Valparaiso
6%
Draws
90%
Luziania
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Luziania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Luziania carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Luziania a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Brasiliense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Gremio Valparaiso Clean Sheet 10%
Luziania Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Valparaiso Luziania
Matches Played 14 34
Wins 5 8
Draws 0 7
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.5 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 Brasiliense 2
Gremio Valparaiso vs Luziania
0:4
Sep 28, 2024 Brasiliense 2
Gremio Valparaiso vs Luziania
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Valparaiso 10 / 100
Luziania 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Valparaiso Luziania

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luziania let in goals in 71% of their last 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Gremio Valparaiso's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 14 recent games.

Solid form: Gremio Valparaiso remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Valparaiso VS Luziania
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ARUC752028:417
2Brasilia FC (DF)751120:416
3Planaltina741216:413
4Cruzeiro FC732211:711
5Luziania72328:49
6Gremio Valparaiso72058:196
7Riacho City71158:264
8Candango71064:353