Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gremio W vs Botafogo RJ W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Francisco Novelletto Neto, Porto Alegre
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Shasha
55'
Sub
Tailane d. J. R. In: Rebeca
Out: Tailane d. J. R.
59'
Ramos M.

AI Match Summary

Gremio W in this Brasileiro Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gremio W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Gremio W
20%
Draws
0%
Botafogo RJ W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gremio W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gremio W lately — more wins on the board than Botafogo RJ W.
  • Gremio W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Brasileiro Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gremio W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Gremio W Clean Sheet 20%
Botafogo RJ W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio W Botafogo RJ W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.61 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Gremio W vs Botafogo RJ W
1:0
Mar 21, 2024 Brasileiro Women
Botafogo RJ W vs Gremio W
0:2
Jun 24, 2021 Brasileiro Women
Gremio W vs Botafogo RJ W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio W Compare

Top Goalscorer Day Silva
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Botafogo RJ W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio W 85 / 100
Botafogo RJ W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio W Botafogo RJ W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo RJ W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Botafogo RJ W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Gremio W's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Solid form: Gremio W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gremio W VS Botafogo RJ W
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio W

(Home)
03 Oct
Gremio W
0 : 0
Internacional W
27 Sept
Gremio W
13 : 0
Forquetense W
20 Sept
Brasil de Farroupilha W
0 : 3
Gremio W
05 Sept
Sao Paulo W
2 : 0
Gremio W
29 Aug
Gremio W
0 : 0
Sao Paulo W
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Botafogo RJ W

(Away)
22 Aug
Gremio W
1 : 0
Botafogo RJ W
16 Aug
Botafogo RJ W
1 : 5
Sao Paulo W
10 Aug
Botafogo RJ W
1 : 2
Fluminense W
01 Aug
Cruzeiro W
4 : 0
Botafogo RJ W
27 Jul
Bahia W
2 : 1
Botafogo RJ W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo W 17 13 2 2 31:11 41
2 Corinthians W 17 12 2 3 42:18 38
3 Palmeiras W 17 10 6 1 32:11 36
4 Ferroviaria W 17 8 7 2 23:14 31
5 CR Flamengo W 17 8 6 3 29:20 30
6 Bahia W 17 8 5 4 30:21 29
7 Cruzeiro W 17 7 7 3 30:19 28
8 Gremio W 17 8 3 6 23:16 27
9 Internacional W 17 8 3 6 21:17 27
10 Bragantino W 17 8 2 7 30:26 26
11 Fluminense W 17 7 5 5 23:19 26
12 Santos W 17 6 5 6 22:23 23
13 Atletico-MG W 17 4 4 9 17:25 16
14 Mixto W 17 2 6 9 10:27 12
15 EC Juventude W 17 2 5 10 9:22 11
16 America Mineiro W 17 1 4 12 9:34 7
17 Vitoria W 17 1 4 12 15:45 7
18 Botafogo RJ W 17 1 2 14 10:38 5
Promotion - Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A2 Women 2027 (Main)