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Stadium Background

Grenada vs Bahamas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Championship 2026 Kirani James Athletic Stadium, St. George's
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Francis J.
Assist: Charles-Cook R.
36' Event
Johnson D.
Assist: Charles-Cook R.
58' Event
Francois K.
Assist: Francis J.

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Grenada and Bahamas finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grenada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Grenada
15%
Draws
0%
Bahamas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grenada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Grenada carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Grenada a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Grenada Clean Sheet 68%
Bahamas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grenada Bahamas
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 3
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 23
Goals Scored 1.27 1
Goals Conceded 2.07 3.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2025 World Championship
Grenada vs Bahamas
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grenada Compare

Top Goalscorer Francis J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johnson D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Bahamas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grenada 95 / 100
Bahamas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grenada Bahamas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grenada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahamas has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Bahamas's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Grenada scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Grenada VS Bahamas
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Grenada

(Home)
06 Oct
Grenada
1 : 4
Bonaire
03 Oct
Bonaire
2 : 3
Grenada
29 Sept
Saint Kitts and Nevis
3 : 0
Grenada
25 Sept
Grenada
0 : 3
Cuba
16 May
Ireland
5 : 0
Grenada
Page 1 of 6

Bahamas

(Away)
06 Oct
Saint Martin
6 : 0
Bahamas
04 Oct
Bahamas
2 : 3
United States Virgin Islands
29 Sept
United States Virgin Islands
3 : 1
Bahamas
23 Sept
Bahamas
0 : 8
Saint Martin
30 Mar
Cayman Islands
1 : 0
Bahamas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honduras 4 4 0 0 12:2 12
2 Bermuda 4 2 1 1 9:8 7
3 Cuba 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Cayman Islands 4 1 0 3 1:9 3
5 Antigua and Barbuda 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica 4 4 0 0 17:1 12
2 Trinidad & Tobago 4 2 1 1 16:7 7
3 Grenada 4 2 1 1 11:7 7
4 Saint Kitts and Nevis 4 1 0 3 5:13 3
5 Bahamas 4 0 0 4 1:22 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 4 4 0 0 15:2 12
2 Haiti 4 3 0 1 11:7 9
3 Saint Lucia 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
4 Aruba 4 0 2 2 3:10 2
5 Barbados 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Nicaragua 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Guyana 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
4 Montserrat 4 1 0 3 3:10 3
5 Belize 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamaica 4 4 0 0 8:2 12
2 Guatemala 4 3 0 1 13:5 9
3 Dominican Republic 4 2 0 2 11:5 6
4 Dominica 4 1 0 3 5:14 3
5 British Virgin Islands 4 0 0 4 0:11 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suriname 4 3 1 0 10:2 10
2 El Salvador 4 2 2 0 7:2 8
3 Puerto Rico 4 2 1 1 10:2 7
4 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 4 1 0 3 9:9 3
5 Anguilla 4 0 0 4 0:21 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)