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Grenada vs Bonaire - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League Hasely Crawford Stadium, Port of Spain
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Ettienne B.
Assist: Harrack K.
13' Event
Martijn R.
Assist: Bostdorp M.
18'
Harrack K.

AI Match Summary

Bonaire in this CONCACAF Nations League matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bonaire.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Grenada
15%
Draws
42%
Bonaire
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grenada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Grenada have won more games recently than Bonaire.
  • Win probability leans Bonaire's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Grenada Clean Sheet 14%
Bonaire Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grenada Bonaire
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.28 1.4
Goals Conceded 2 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Grenada vs Bonaire
1:4
Oct 3, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Bonaire vs Grenada
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grenada Compare

Top Goalscorer Ettienne B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Bonaire Compare

Top Goalscorer Martijn R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sonnenschein B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grenada 19 / 100
Bonaire 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grenada Bonaire

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bonaire Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonaire's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Bonaire registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Grenada scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Grenada VS Bonaire
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Grenada

(Home)
06 Oct
Grenada
1 : 4
Bonaire
03 Oct
Bonaire
2 : 3
Grenada
29 Sept
Saint Kitts and Nevis
3 : 0
Grenada
25 Sept
Grenada
0 : 3
Cuba
16 May
Ireland
5 : 0
Grenada
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Bonaire

(Away)
06 Oct
Grenada
1 : 4
Bonaire
03 Oct
Bonaire
2 : 3
Grenada
28 Sept
Cuba
2 : 0
Bonaire
26 Sept
Bonaire
1 : 2
Saint Kitts and Nevis
06 Jun
British Virgin Islands
2 : 0
Bonaire
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