Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grenada vs United States Virgin Islands - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Muirhead P.
23'
Harrack K.
27' Event
Charles-Cook R.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Grenada and United States Virgin Islands finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grenada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Grenada
15%
Draws
64%
United States Virgin Islands
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: United States Virgin Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Grenada carry the better recent record into this one.
  • United States Virgin Islands are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Grenada have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Grenada Clean Sheet 10%
United States Virgin Islands Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grenada United States Virgin Islands
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1.29 1.07
Goals Conceded 2 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 Friendly International
Grenada vs United States Virgin Islands
4:1
Mar 30, 2021 World Championship
Grenada vs United States Virgin Islands
1:0
Mar 29, 2016 Caribbean Cup
United States Virgin Islands vs Grenada
1:2
Mar 26, 2008 World Championship
Grenada vs United States Virgin Islands
10:0
Feb 5, 2008 World Championship
United States Virgin Islands vs Grenada
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grenada Compare

Top Goalscorer Charles-Cook R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Muirhead P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

United States Virgin Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Liburd J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grenada 10 / 100
United States Virgin Islands 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grenada United States Virgin Islands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick United States Virgin Islands Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

United States Virgin Islands let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Grenada found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (31 games).

Grenada went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grenada VS United States Virgin Islands
1.63 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Grenada

(Home)
06 Oct
Grenada
1 : 4
Bonaire
03 Oct
Bonaire
2 : 3
Grenada
29 Sept
Saint Kitts and Nevis
3 : 0
Grenada
25 Sept
Grenada
0 : 3
Cuba
16 May
Ireland
5 : 0
Grenada
Page 1 of 7

United States Virgin Islands

(Away)
04 Oct
Bahamas
2 : 3
United States Virgin Islands
01 Oct
United States Virgin Islands
0 : 5
Saint Martin
29 Sept
United States Virgin Islands
3 : 1
Bahamas
26 Sept
Saint Martin
0 : 2
United States Virgin Islands
29 Mar
Puerto Rico
2 : 0
United States Virgin Islands
Page 1 of 6