Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grenada vs United States Virgin Islands

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Grenada play United States Virgin Islands in the Friendly International 2025. Grenada are favorites here. Recently, Grenada averaged 1.27 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. United States Virgin Islands averaged 0.87 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. In past meetings, Grenada won 4, United States Virgin Islands won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 15, 2025 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Grenada and 1.69 for United States Virgin Islands. This points to a Grenada double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Grenada
18%
Draws
20%
United States Virgin Islands
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Grenada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Grenada picked up more points recently compared to United States Virgin Islands.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Grenada Clean Sheet 13%
United States Virgin Islands Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grenada United States Virgin Islands
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 1.27 0.87
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 Friendly International
Grenada vs United States Virgin Islands
4:1
Mar 30, 2021 World Championship
Grenada vs United States Virgin Islands
1:0
Mar 29, 2016 Caribbean Cup
United States Virgin Islands vs Grenada
1:2
Mar 26, 2008 World Championship
Grenada vs United States Virgin Islands
10:0
Feb 5, 2008 World Championship
United States Virgin Islands vs Grenada
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grenada Compare

Top Goalscorer Charles-Cook R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Muirhead P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

United States Virgin Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Liburd J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grenada 58 / 100
United States Virgin Islands 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grenada United States Virgin Islands

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grenada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Grenada & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Grenada attacking → ← attacking United States Virgin Islands

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grenada scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

United States Virgin Islands let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Grenada went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

United States Virgin Islands lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 16
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25