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Grenoble vs AC Ajaccio

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade des Alpes, Grenoble
Fri, Feb 27, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Grenoble host AC Ajaccio in the Ligue 2 2025/2026. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Grenoble at 1 goals for, 1.27 against; AC Ajaccio at 0.5 for, 1.5 against. Head-to-head, Grenoble have won 1 to AC Ajaccio's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Feb 27, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.17 - 1.06) back AC Ajaccio to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Grenoble
25%
Draws
35%
AC Ajaccio
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Grenoble

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Grenoble come out ahead of AC Ajaccio on wins alone.
  • Grenoble are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Grenoble Clean Sheet 20%
AC Ajaccio Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grenoble AC Ajaccio
Matches Played 30 2
Wins 7 0
Draws 12 1
Losses 11 1
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Ligue 2
Grenoble vs AC Ajaccio
0:0
Nov 21, 2025 Ligue 2
AC Ajaccio vs Grenoble
0:0
Mar 7, 2025 Ligue 2
Grenoble vs AC Ajaccio
2:2
Sep 24, 2024 Ligue 2
AC Ajaccio vs Grenoble
2:0
May 10, 2024 Ligue 2
AC Ajaccio vs Grenoble
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grenoble 36 / 100
AC Ajaccio 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grenoble AC Ajaccio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Ajaccio has conceded goals in 100% of their last 2 outings.

Grenoble's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Grenoble went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grenoble VS AC Ajaccio
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Grenoble

(Home)
11 Sept
Rodez
0 : 1
Grenoble
04 Sept
Grenoble
1 : 2
Annecy
28 Aug
Laval
0 : 3
Grenoble
22 Aug
St Etienne
4 : 0
Grenoble
14 Aug
Grenoble
0 : 0
Metz
Page 1 of 6

AC Ajaccio

(Away)
26 Jul
Martigues
1 : 1
AC Ajaccio
28 Mar
Martigues
2 : 0
AC Ajaccio

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Troyes 34 20 7 7 60:33 67
2 Le Mans 34 16 14 4 50:31 62
3 St Etienne 34 18 6 10 59:38 60
4 Red Star 34 16 10 8 45:37 58
5 Rodez 34 15 13 6 45:39 58
6 Reims 34 14 14 6 53:35 56
7 Annecy 34 15 7 12 49:39 52
8 Montpellier 34 14 9 11 41:31 51
9 Pau 34 12 9 13 48:62 45
10 Dunkerque 34 11 10 13 53:45 43
11 Guingamp 34 10 10 14 42:49 40
12 Grenoble 34 8 15 11 33:39 39
13 Clermont 34 9 10 15 38:44 37
14 Nancy 34 9 10 15 35:52 37
15 Boulogne 34 9 9 16 34:49 36
16 Laval 34 6 14 14 30:48 32
17 Bastia 34 5 13 16 23:39 28
18 Amiens SC 34 6 6 22 37:65 24
19 AC Ajaccio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)