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Grenoble W vs Le Mans W

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Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Hoarau F.
90' Event
Mazza G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Grenoble W
15%
Draws
65%
Le Mans W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Le Mans W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Le Mans W have won more games recently than Grenoble W.
  • Le Mans W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Grenoble W Clean Sheet 10%
Le Mans W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grenoble W Le Mans W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.3 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Grenoble W
3:0
Mar 29, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Grenoble W vs Le Mans W
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Grenoble W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grenoble W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazza G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Le Mans W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoarau F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grenoble W 10 / 100
Le Mans W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grenoble W Le Mans W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Le Mans W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grenoble W's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Le Mans W has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Grenoble W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grenoble W VS Le Mans W
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Grenoble W

(Home)
27 Sept
Grenoble W
3 : 0
Cannes W
20 Sept
Grenoble W
2 : 3
Auxerre W
13 Sept
Cannes W
5 : 1
Grenoble W
05 Sept
Grenoble W
0 : 1
Metz W
29 Aug
Saint-Malo W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
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Le Mans W

(Away)
13 Sept
St Etienne W
1 : 1
Le Mans W
06 Sept
Bourges 18 W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
29 Aug
Roubaix W
1 : 0
Le Mans W
23 Aug
Le Mans W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
12 Aug
Saint-Malo W
0 : 1
Le Mans W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 15 4 3 48:21 49
2 Saint-Malo W 22 12 4 6 34:28 40
3 Le Mans W 22 12 3 7 28:20 39
4 Auxerre W 22 10 5 7 31:25 35
5 Grenoble W 22 9 7 6 31:24 34
6 Lille W 22 9 5 8 31:25 32
7 Thonon Evian W 22 9 4 9 35:29 31
8 Nice W 22 8 5 9 28:31 29
9 Reims W 22 7 6 9 26:33 27
10 Metz W 22 6 4 12 31:42 22
11 Rodez AF W 22 6 4 12 16:32 22
12 Guingamp W 22 2 3 17 17:46 9
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)